Los Angeles Dodgers Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Milwaukee 3-6, playoff odds down 1 to 96.9%
32-18   .640

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 3 Milwaukee 6 -0.6
-0.1
Giants 1 Arizona 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colorado vs Dodgers-0.6+0.6
-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Cubs-0.1+0.2
San Diego vs Arizona+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Dodgers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
110-144In1002,550*
10977-35In10002,162
10876-36In1003,804
10775-37In10006,521
10674-38In100010,655
10573-39In100016,582
10472-40In99124,811
10371-41In99135,111
10270-42In9820048,813
10169-43In9730065,030
10068-44In9550083,417
9967-45In91800103,115
9866-46In861300122,562
9765-47In801910140,620
9664-48In7127210154,835
9563-49In6035410163,643
9462-50In4743720167,743
9361-51In354813300166,001
9260-52In235022510157,847
9159-53100.0%1346327100145,537
9058-54100.0637439400128,323
8957-5599.922653107100110,125
8856-5699.311658101141090,101
8755-5797.30858715920071,508
8654-5891.4035341517710055,105
8553-5979.10144211211551040,944
8452-6060.00351619241330029,037
8351-6140.102602122523920019,771
8250-6223.3017006193020610013,082
8149-6311.91002112630174108,379
8048-646.8600417312811205,255
7947-653.230017233423713,058
7846-661.620313283318411,741
7745-670.6101517362910201,028
7644-680.2021026352240518
7543-69Out13143634111250
7442-70Out92439261137
7341-71Out41347292445
7240-72Out1521412434
7139-73Out9642711
7038-74Out2040405
6937-75Out33673
6836-76Out1001
320-112Out100180
Total:96.9%46251832211000000002,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
32-144
Total: