Detroit Tigers Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Lost to Boston 4-6, playoff odds down 3.2 to 25.9%
23-27   .460

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boston 6 Detroit 4 -3.2
-0.3
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6 +0.2
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Yankees+3.0-3.0
+0.3-0.3
Cleveland vs Minnesota-0.3+0.3
White Sox vs Seattle-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
103-135In100188*
10279-33In93715
10178-34In10022
10077-35In98251
9976-36In991128
9875-37In9721224
9774-38In94402522
9673-39In93601916
9572-40In918011,713
9471-41In8314122,980
9370-42In73211405,074
9269-43In63282708,241
9168-44In4935511012,656
9067-45In35409151019,145
8966-46100.0%2141142030027,975
8865-47100.01137202571039,223
8764-4899.8428262514300053,217
8663-4998.7117292222710069,222
8562-5094.80927152717510087,713
8461-5183.3032282327133000106,473
8360-5261.8116214292610200124,408
8259-5334.809052032248100141,250
8158-5414.2050182432227100154,139
8057-554.402002112733195100162,840
7956-561.20100314313216300164,709
7855-570.3000151834291120162,843
7754-580.10001824362460154,338
7653-590.000002133235162141,365
7552-600.0000052139286123,922
7451-610.0000211343914106,272
7350-62Out00524462486,556
7249-63Out00215453869,439
7148-64Out018405153,147
7047-65Out004326439,311
6946-66Out02247428,029
6845-67Out001178219,328
6744-68Out0118812,633
6643-69Out07938,041
6542-70Out4965,076
6441-71Out03972,920
6340-72Out1991,638
6239-73Out199961
6138-74Out199504
23-60Out100633*
Total:25.9%2463567891010111092,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
23-135
Total: