Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Lost to Minnesota 0-4, playoff odds down 2.1 to 18.1%

22-29 .431

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota 4 Oakland 0	-2.4		-0.3
Texas 8 Seattle 21	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kansas City vs Oakland	-2.4+2.4		-0.3+0.3
Cleveland vs Minnesota	-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Yankees	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Oakland finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

100	-134				In		100																225	*
99		77	-	35	In		98	2															58
98		76	-	36	In		98	2															124
97		75	-	37	In		94	4		2													251
96		74	-	38	In		94	5		1													455
95		73	-	39	In		88	9	0	2													919
94		72	-	40	In		82	13	1	4													1,713
93		71	-	41	In		72	20	1	7													3,042
92		70	-	42	In		61	29	2	8	0	0											5,083
91		69	-	43	100.0	%	46	35	4	14	1		0										8,156
90		68	-	44	In		31	40	9	19	2	0											12,846
89		67	-	45	100.0		18	40	13	25	4	0	0										19,331
88		66	-	46	99.9		8	34	19	28	9	1	0	0									28,077
87		65	-	47	99.5		3	24	25	27	17	4	0	0	0								39,474
86		64	-	48	97.9		1	14	25	21	26	11	2	0	0	0							53,030
85		63	-	49	91.5		0	6	23	12	28	22	7	1	0	0							69,025
84		62	-	50	75.2		0	2	18	5	21	30	19	5	1	0	0						87,463
83		61	-	51	49.5			1	12	1	10	26	30	16	4	0	0	0					106,922
82		60	-	52	23.4			0	7	0	3	14	30	30	14	3	0	0	0				124,667
81		59	-	53	8.1			0	3	0	0	4	18	32	28	12	2	0	0				140,577
80		58	-	54	2.4			0	2	0	0	1	6	21	34	26	9	1	0				153,793
79		57	-	55	0.7				1		0	0	1	9	25	35	23	7	1	0			162,427
78		56	-	56	0.2				0			0	0	2	12	30	34	18	3	0			165,357
77		55	-	57	0.1				0			0	0	0	4	18	35	31	11	1			161,849
76		54	-	58	0.0				0				0	0	1	8	26	39	22	4			154,250
75		53	-	59	0.0				0				0	0	0	3	15	37	35	9			141,169
74		52	-	60	0.0				0						0	1	7	29	44	19			124,392
73		51	-	61	Out										0	0	3	20	47	30			106,435
72		50	-	62	Out										0	0	1	11	44	44			87,317
71		49	-	63	Out											0	0	6	37	57			69,470
70		48	-	64	Out											0	0	3	29	68			53,047
69		47	-	65	Out												0	1	21	78			39,236
68		46	-	66	Out													1	15	85			28,033
67		45	-	67	Out												0	0	10	90			19,423
66		44	-	68	Out													0	6	93			12,747
65		43	-	69	Out													0	4	96			8,138
64		42	-	70	Out													0	2	98			4,953
63		41	-	71	Out														1	99			2,913
62		40	-	72	Out														1	99			1,647
61		39	-	73	Out														0	100			859
60		38	-	74	Out															100			473
59		37	-	75	Out														0	100			241
22	-58				Out															100			393	*

Total:					18.1	%	1	2	4	2	3	5	6	7	8	10	11	13	14	13			2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

22	-134

Total: