New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Beat Angels 6-5, playoff odds up 3.8 to 52.7%

27-23 .540

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Angels 5 Yankees 6	+3.8		+0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit vs Yankees	-3.6+3.6		-0.3+0.3
Cleveland vs Minnesota	-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

102	-139				In		100																638	*
101		74	-	38	In		100	0		0													496
100		73	-	39	In		100	0		0													955
99		72	-	40	In		99	1		0													1,731
98		71	-	41	In		98	2		0													2,930
97		70	-	42	In		97	3	0	1													4,928
96		69	-	43	In		93	5	0	2													7,970
95		68	-	44	In		89	7	0	3	0												12,924
94		67	-	45	In		83	11	0	5	0												19,129
93		66	-	46	In		75	16	1	9	0												28,216
92		65	-	47	In		64	21	1	14	0	0											39,104
91		64	-	48	In		51	26	2	20	1	0											53,266
90		63	-	49	100.0	%	36	28	4	28	3	0	0										69,271
89		62	-	50	100.0		22	28	7	36	6	0	0										87,414
88		61	-	51	100.0		12	24	9	41	13	1	0										106,256
87		60	-	52	99.7		5	17	11	41	22	4	0	0	0								124,243
86		59	-	53	98.7		1	9	10	35	33	10	1	0	0	0							140,508
85		58	-	54	94.8		0	4	8	23	39	21	5	0	0	0							154,334
84		57	-	55	83.4		0	1	5	11	33	33	14	3	0	0		0					162,361
83		56	-	56	61.3		0	0	2	4	20	36	27	10	2	0	0						165,333
82		55	-	57	33.6			0	1	1	7	25	35	23	7	1	0	0					163,041
81		54	-	58	12.6			0	0	0	2	11	27	34	20	6	1	0	0				153,937
80		53	-	59	3.0				0	0	0	3	13	30	32	17	4	0	0				140,612
79		52	-	60	0.5				0	0	0	0	4	17	32	30	13	3	0	0			124,931
78		51	-	61	0.1				0		0	0	1	6	21	34	27	9	1	0			106,349
77		50	-	62	0.0						0	0	0	2	9	27	36	21	5	0			87,521
76		49	-	63	0.0							0	0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2			68,998
75		48	-	64	Out								0	0	1	6	24	39	25	5			53,386
74		47	-	65	Out									0	0	2	13	35	37	11			39,250
73		46	-	66	Out										0	1	6	27	45	21			28,170
72		45	-	67	Out											0	2	18	46	34			19,165
71		44	-	68	Out											0	1	10	43	47			12,884
70		43	-	69	Out												0	5	35	59			8,161
69		42	-	70	Out												0	2	27	70			4,873
68		41	-	71	Out												0	1	19	81			2,969
67		40	-	72	Out													0	15	85			1,678
66		39	-	73	Out													0	6	94			948
65		38	-	74	Out														5	95			459
64		37	-	75	Out														3	97			263
63		36	-	76	Out														3	97			123
27	-62				Out															100			275	*

Total:					52.7	%	8	6	3	13	12	10	9	8	7	7	6	5	3	2			2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

27	-139

Total: