Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Beat Mets 10-6, playoff odds up 3.6 to 40.7%

27-25 .519

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mets 6 Phillies 10	+3.6		+0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phillies vs Miami	+3.7-3.7		+0.3-0.3
Giants vs Cubs	-0.2+0.2
Mets vs St. Louis	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

103	-137				In		100																275	*
102		75	-	35	In		99	1															118
101		74	-	36	In		100	0															209
100		73	-	37	In		98	1		0													442
99		72	-	38	In		98	2		0													860
98		71	-	39	In		97	2	0	1													1,566
97		70	-	40	In		94	4		2													2,856
96		69	-	41	In		92	6	0	2	0												4,733
95		68	-	42	In		87	9	0	4	0												7,859
94		67	-	43	In		80	14	0	6	0												12,307
93		66	-	44	In		69	19	1	11	0	0											18,546
92		65	-	45	In		57	24	2	16	1	0											27,109
91		64	-	46	In		44	28	3	23	2	0											38,263
90		63	-	47	100.0	%	30	30	5	31	4	0	0										52,113
89		62	-	48	100.0		17	28	8	38	9	1	0										69,252
88		61	-	49	99.9		8	21	10	41	17	2	0	0									87,059
87		60	-	50	99.3		3	13	11	38	28	7	1	0	0								106,619
86		59	-	51	96.8		1	6	9	29	36	16	3	0	0	0							125,219
85		58	-	52	88.3		0	2	6	16	36	28	10	2	0	0	0						141,537
84		57	-	53	69.9		0	0	3	7	25	34	22	7	1	0	0	0					154,899
83		56	-	54	43.0			0	1	2	12	28	32	18	5	1	0	0					163,536
82		55	-	55	18.5			0	0	0	3	15	29	30	16	5	1	0	0				168,183
81		54	-	56	5.1			0	0	0	1	4	17	30	29	15	4	1	0				164,204
80		53	-	57	0.9				0		0	1	5	18	31	28	13	3	0	0	0		155,453
79		52	-	58	0.1				0		0	0	1	7	20	32	27	11	2	0	0		141,913
78		51	-	59	0.0				0			0	0	2	8	23	33	24	9	1	0		125,276
77		50	-	60	0.0							0	0	0	2	11	27	34	20	6	1	0	106,213
76		49	-	61	Out								0	0	0	4	15	32	32	15	2	0	87,026
75		48	-	62	Out									0	0	1	6	22	36	27	8	1	69,081
74		47	-	63	Out										0	0	2	11	31	37	17	2	52,190
73		46	-	64	Out											0	1	5	21	40	28	6	38,385
72		45	-	65	Out											0	0	2	12	36	38	12	27,252
71		44	-	66	Out												0	1	6	28	45	21	18,589
70		43	-	67	Out													0	2	19	47	32	12,250
69		42	-	68	Out												0	0	1	12	44	43	7,670
68		41	-	69	Out														0	6	37	57	4,655
67		40	-	70	Out														0	3	30	66	2,775
66		39	-	71	Out															2	24	74	1,546
65		38	-	72	Out															1	19	81	893
64		37	-	73	Out															1	11	89	459
63		36	-	74	Out																8	93	240
62		35	-	75	Out																10	90	113
61		34	-	76	Out																6	94	47
60		33	-	77	Out																6	94	18
27	-59				Out																	100	192	*

Total:					40.7	%	5	5	3	9	10	9	9	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	1	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

27	-137

Total: