Texas Rangers Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Lost to Seattle 8-21, playoff odds down 1.9 to 79.9%
31-20   .608

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Texas 8 Seattle 21 -2.5
-0.2
Minnesota 4 Oakland 0 +0.3
Angels 5 Yankees 6 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels vs Texas-2.8+2.8
-0.3+0.3
Kansas City vs Oakland+0.2-0.2
White Sox vs Seattle+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Texas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
104-142In1001,432*
10372-39In10001,246
10271-40In10002,134
10170-41In10003,705
10069-42In9916,227
9968-43In99110,109
9867-44In982015,630
9766-45In9730022,709
9665-46In9550033,056
9564-47In9190045,572
9463-48In86130060,847
9362-49In782011078,361
9261-50In6829220096,526
9160-51In55384300115,109
9059-52In40469400133,792
8958-53100.0%2651157100148,658
8857-54100.014492510200159,037
8756-5599.964135125100164,947
8655-5699.62294312103000165,647
8554-5797.701646101692000160,283
8453-5891.10844616177100148,715
8352-5975.4033721222176100133,263
8251-6051.0128051725176100115,542
8150-6128.001901822281751096,678
8049-6213.50110021126291640077,970
7948-636.306003153029133060,477
7847-642.730015193428101045,719
7746-651.2100182536236033,521
7645-660.40000213313516222,879
7544-670.10015213929615,445
7443-680.000011133411410,097
7342-69Out042447256,110
7241-70Out011345403,743
7140-71Out00939522,109
7039-72Out0432641,258
6938-73Out012474669
6837-74Out11782322
6736-75Out1387150
6635-76Out49673
6534-77Out49626
31-64Out100207*
Total:79.9%232221555543322102,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
31-142
Total: