Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Beat St. Louis 10-7, playoff odds up 3.8 to 48.1%
28-24   .538

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7 +3.6
+0.3
Giants 1 Arizona 4 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Atlanta-3.8+3.8
-0.3+0.3
Giants vs Cubs-0.3+0.3
San Diego vs Arizona+0.2-0.2
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
103-138In100372*
10274-36In1000224
10173-37In991463
10072-38In982790
9971-39In98201,577
9870-40In97212,695
9769-41In945014,778
9668-42In908027,679
9567-43In851103012,218
9466-44In781606018,490
9365-45In6821110026,850
9264-46In56272151038,478
9163-47100.0%423142220052,120
9062-48100.0283273040068,949
8961-49100.01629103681087,493
8860-5099.9822124017200107,094
8759-5199.231312372771000125,113
8658-5296.716102836163000142,279
8557-5388.5027163628102000154,998
8456-5470.4014725342271000163,931
8355-5543.7022122932185100166,599
8254-5619.20103153030165100163,735
8153-575.500015173029154000155,801
8052-581.00001618312813300142,367
7951-590.10001720322611200124,982
7850-600.0000292333248100105,724
7749-610.000021127332051087,230
7648-62Out0004153132153069,009
7547-63Out000162135278152,218
7446-64Out00211293618338,686
7345-65Out004193830827,374
7244-66Out0011132401518,772
7143-67Out00524452612,160
7042-68Out021544407,720
6941-69Out01838534,716
6840-70Out0431652,767
6739-71Out0224731,592
6638-72Out11881859
6537-73Out01090482
6436-74Out0793216
6335-75Out397114
6234-76Out29862
28-61Out100224*
Total:48.1%76411111098776543212,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
28-138
Total: