Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Beat Cleveland 6-3, playoff odds up 2.2 to 18%

21-28 .429

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6	+2.3		+0.3
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kansas City vs Oakland	+2.4-2.4		+0.3-0.3
White Sox vs Seattle	-0.2+0.2
Cleveland vs Minnesota	-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

100	-135				In		100																232	*
99		78	-	36	In		98	2															63
98		77	-	37	In		95	4		1													149
97		76	-	38	In		95	4		1													289
96		75	-	39	In		92	8	0	0													573
95		74	-	40	In		88	9	0	2													1,085
94		73	-	41	In		80	16	0	4	0												1,779
93		72	-	42	In		70	24	2	5	0												3,119
92		71	-	43	In		57	31	3	8	0												5,206
91		70	-	44	In		43	38	6	12	1	0											8,546
90		69	-	45	In		28	42	11	17	2	0											13,351
89		68	-	46	100.0	%	16	41	17	22	5	0	0										19,861
88		67	-	47	99.9		7	34	23	25	10	1	0	0									28,398
87		66	-	48	99.5		2	23	27	24	18	5	1	0									40,118
86		65	-	49	97.5		1	13	28	19	25	12	2	0	0								53,987
85		64	-	50	90.5		0	6	24	11	27	23	8	1	0	0							70,295
84		63	-	51	73.7		0	2	18	4	19	30	20	6	1	0	0						87,383
83		62	-	52	47.9			1	11	1	9	26	31	17	4	0	0	0					106,468
82		61	-	53	22.4			0	6	0	2	13	30	30	14	3	0	0					124,258
81		60	-	54	7.5			0	3	0	0	4	17	32	29	12	2	0	0				140,574
80		59	-	55	2.0				1	0	0	1	6	21	34	26	9	1	0				152,649
79		58	-	56	0.5				0		0	0	1	8	25	35	23	7	1	0			160,607
78		57	-	57	0.1				0			0	0	2	12	30	34	18	4	0			164,016
77		56	-	58	0.0				0			0	0	0	4	18	35	31	11	1			161,470
76		55	-	59	0.0				0				0	0	1	8	26	39	23	4			153,678
75		54	-	60	0.0				0					0	0	3	15	37	35	10			139,784
74		53	-	61	Out										0	1	7	28	44	20			123,393
73		52	-	62	Out									0	0	0	3	19	46	33			106,184
72		51	-	63	Out										0	0	1	10	42	47			86,874
71		50	-	64	Out											0	0	5	34	60			70,002
70		49	-	65	Out											0	0	2	26	72			53,489
69		48	-	66	Out												0	1	19	80			39,862
68		47	-	67	Out												0	0	12	88			28,405
67		46	-	68	Out													0	7	93			19,681
66		45	-	69	Out													0	5	95			13,188
65		44	-	70	Out													0	3	97			8,445
64		43	-	71	Out														2	98			5,303
63		42	-	72	Out														1	99			3,233
62		41	-	73	Out														0	100			1,809
61		40	-	74	Out														0	100			965
21	-60				Out															100			1,229	*

Total:					18.0	%	1	2	4	2	3	5	6	7	8	10	11	12	14	14			2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

21	-135

Total: