Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Beat Baltimore 4-1, playoff odds up 3.9 to 49%

27-24 .529

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto 4 Baltimore 1	+3.8		+0.3
Minnesota 4 Oakland 0	+0.2
Boston 6 Detroit 4	-0.1
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto vs Boston	+3.9-3.9		+0.3-0.3
Cleveland vs Minnesota	-0.3+0.3
Detroit vs Yankees	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

102	-138				In		100																505	*
101		74	-	37	In		99	1															333
100		73	-	38	In		99	1		0													640
99		72	-	39	In		99	1		0													1,257
98		71	-	40	In		97	2		1													2,168
97		70	-	41	In		96	3		1													3,648
96		69	-	42	In		93	5	0	2													6,240
95		68	-	43	In		89	8	0	3	0												9,964
94		67	-	44	In		82	11	0	6	0												15,485
93		66	-	45	In		74	16	1	10	0												23,103
92		65	-	46	In		63	21	1	15	0	0											32,844
91		64	-	47	In		49	26	2	21	1	0											45,590
90		63	-	48	In		35	29	4	29	3	0											60,705
89		62	-	49	100.0	%	22	28	7	36	7	0	0										77,894
88		61	-	50	100.0		11	23	9	42	14	1	0	0									96,558
87		60	-	51	99.7		4	16	11	42	23	4	0	0									115,401
86		59	-	52	98.7		1	9	10	34	34	11	1	0	0								133,195
85		58	-	53	94.5		0	3	8	23	39	22	5	0	0								148,562
84		57	-	54	83.1		0	1	4	11	33	33	14	3	0	0	0						159,793
83		56	-	55	61.2		0	0	2	4	20	36	27	10	2	0	0						165,870
82		55	-	56	33.6			0	1	1	7	25	35	23	7	1	0	0	0				164,710
81		54	-	57	12.6			0	0	0	2	11	28	34	20	6	1	0					159,910
80		53	-	58	3.1				0	0	0	3	14	30	32	17	4	0	0	0			148,392
79		52	-	59	0.5				0	0	0	0	4	17	32	30	13	3	0	0			133,643
78		51	-	60	0.1				0			0	1	6	21	34	27	9	1	0			116,382
77		50	-	61	0.0							0	0	2	9	27	35	21	5	0			96,687
76		49	-	62	Out								0	0	3	15	33	34	13	2			77,929
75		48	-	63	Out								0	0	1	6	24	39	25	5			60,781
74		47	-	64	Out									0	0	2	13	36	37	12			45,511
73		46	-	65	Out									0	0	1	6	27	44	22			32,735
72		45	-	66	Out										0	0	2	17	46	34			23,114
71		44	-	67	Out											0	1	10	42	47			15,431
70		43	-	68	Out												0	5	35	59			10,084
69		42	-	69	Out												0	2	27	71			6,335
68		41	-	70	Out												0	1	19	80			3,750
67		40	-	71	Out													0	13	87			2,172
66		39	-	72	Out													0	9	91			1,167
65		38	-	73	Out														4	96			647
64		37	-	74	Out														3	97			368
63		36	-	75	Out														3	97			168
62		35	-	76	Out														1	99			69
27	-61				Out															100			260	*

Total:					49.0	%	7	6	3	12	11	10	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	2			2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

27	-138

Total: