Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to Phillies 956-1047, playoff odds down 0.07 to 0.01%
1-9   .100

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.1
-0.3
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals vs Athletics-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1211-07.3%0061823312182000467,128
1110-10.80100313272918710004,386,735
109-20.00000151628281751021,928,882
98-30.000001719312812265,784,934
87-4Out0000212303818131,593,108
76-5Out000193852184,196,822
65-6Out00011782184,196,470
54-7Out000496131,562,637
43-8Out0019965,786,570
32-9Out010021,924,637
1-2Out1004,853,297*
Total:0.0%000000001135102060816,681,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +1.0
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.1
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals vs Athletics+0.9-0.9
Astros vs Reds-0.1+0.1
Braves vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.1+0.1
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1211-000134314242416831000
1110-100010026142123181041000
109-200000014111924211351000
98-30000014112126211141000
87-40000161626261661000
76-500001414262918710
65-600014152931173
54-700017254225
43-8000043065
32-9000891
21-1000199
10-11100
Total:00000000000001122356891112131313