New York Mets Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Lost to Phillies 6-10, playoff odds down 3.6 to 51.7%

28-23 .549

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mets 6 Phillies 10	-3.7		-0.3
Colorado 13 Houston 5	+0.2

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mets vs St. Louis	+3.7-3.7		+0.3-0.3
Giants vs Cubs	-0.2+0.2
San Diego vs Arizona	+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

102	-139				In		100																798	*
101		73	-	38	In		100	0		0													630
100		72	-	39	In		99	1		0													1,241
99		71	-	40	In		98	1		0													2,099
98		70	-	41	In		97	2		1													3,786
97		69	-	42	In		95	4	0	1													6,342
96		68	-	43	In		91	7	0	2													9,940
95		67	-	44	In		86	10	0	4	0												15,248
94		66	-	45	In		79	15	0	6	0												23,118
93		65	-	46	In		69	20	1	10	0												33,016
92		64	-	47	In		56	26	2	16	1	0											45,372
91		63	-	48	In		43	30	4	22	2	0											61,113
90		62	-	49	100.0	%	29	31	6	30	4	0	0										78,021
89		61	-	50	100.0		16	29	9	37	8	1	0										96,491
88		60	-	51	99.9		7	22	11	41	16	2	0	0									115,453
87		59	-	52	99.4		2	13	12	38	27	6	1	0	0								133,320
86		58	-	53	96.9		1	6	10	29	36	15	3	0	0	0							148,457
85		57	-	54	88.7		0	2	7	16	36	27	9	2	0	0							159,340
84		56	-	55	70.6		0	0	4	7	25	35	21	7	1	0	0						165,215
83		55	-	56	43.4			0	2	2	12	28	32	18	6	1	0	0	0				165,332
82		54	-	57	18.9			0	1	0	3	15	29	30	16	5	1	0	0				159,656
81		53	-	58	5.2				0	0	1	5	16	30	29	15	4	1	0	0			148,219
80		52	-	59	0.9				0	0	0	1	5	17	30	28	14	4	0	0			133,310
79		51	-	60	0.1				0		0	0	1	6	19	31	27	12	3	0	0		115,619
78		50	-	61	0.0							0	0	1	7	22	32	25	10	2	0		96,909
77		49	-	62	0.0				0			0	0	0	2	10	25	33	22	7	1	0	78,634
76		48	-	63	Out									0	0	3	14	30	32	17	3	0	60,908
75		47	-	64	Out									0	0	1	5	20	35	29	9	1	45,599
74		46	-	65	Out										0	0	2	10	29	38	19	3	33,231
73		45	-	66	Out											0	0	4	18	39	31	7	23,001
72		44	-	67	Out												0	1	10	32	41	15	15,646
71		43	-	68	Out												0	0	5	23	46	26	10,002
70		42	-	69	Out													0	2	15	46	38	6,286
69		41	-	70	Out														1	9	40	51	3,858
68		40	-	71	Out														0	4	34	62	2,142
67		39	-	72	Out															2	25	73	1,206
66		38	-	73	Out															1	20	80	656
65		37	-	74	Out															0	11	88	311
64		36	-	75	Out															1	9	90	175
63		35	-	76	Out																3	97	63
62		34	-	77	Out																3	97	37
28	-61				Out																	100	200	*

Total:					51.7	%	8	7	4	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	2	1	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

28	-139

Total: