Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Beat Diamondbacks 7-4, playoff odds up 0.002 to 0.02%

57-74 .435

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers 8 Athletics 7	-2.3		-0.3

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers 1 Athletics 7	+2.2		+0.3
Giants 5 Angels 0	+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

88		31	-	0	99.9	%	0	7	84	5	4	0	0									176,866
87		30	-	1	97.0			6	67	12	12	3										33
86		29	-	2	96.5			0	62	9	25	3	0									429
85		28	-	3	80.9			0	39	6	36	17	2	0								4,606
84		27	-	4	54.9			0	19	2	34	34	10	1	0							31,677
83		26	-	5	26.2				7	1	19	41	26	6	1	0	0					170,526
82		25	-	6	7.3				1	0	6	27	39	21	5	0	0					735,643
81		24	-	7	1.0				0	0	1	9	30	36	19	5	0	0	0			2,621,320
80		23	-	8	0.1				0	0	0	1	11	29	34	19	5	0	0	0		7,857,401
79		22	-	9	0.0						0	0	2	11	28	34	20	5	0	0	0	20,063,667
78		21	-	10	0.0						0	0	0	2	10	27	35	20	5	1	0	44,110,854
77		20	-	11	Out							0	0	0	2	10	28	35	20	5	0	84,166,483
76		19	-	12	Out								0	0	0	2	10	29	35	19	4	140,225,160
75		18	-	13	Out									0	0	0	2	13	33	37	15	204,893,892
74		17	-	14	Out										0	0	0	3	19	43	35	263,386,496
73		16	-	15	Out										0	0	0	1	7	34	58	298,476,177
72		15	-	16	Out											0	0	0	2	21	77	298,457,239
71		14	-	17	Out												0	0	0	10	89	263,398,160
70		13	-	18	Out													0	0	4	96	204,906,225
69		12	-	19	Out													0	0	2	98	140,221,276
68		11	-	20	Out														0	1	99	84,165,868
67		10	-	21	Out														0	0	100	44,120,147
66		9	-	22	Out														0	0	100	20,063,249
65		8	-	23	Out														0	0	100	7,858,449
64		7	-	24	Out															0	100	2,622,135
63		6	-	25	Out															0	100	735,163
62		5	-	26	Out															0	100	169,567
61		4	-	27	Out															0	100	31,335
57	-60				Out																100	181,857	*

Total:					0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	10	20	59	2,133,851,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rangers 8 Athletics 7	+0.6

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rangers 1 Athletics 7	-0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

88	31	-	0			0	1	8	25	35	23	7	1	0	0
87	30	-	1						9	21	45	21		3
86	29	-	2						1	13	29	36	17	2	1
85	28	-	3						0	2	13	34	31	12	6	1	0
84	27	-	4						0	0	3	17	35	16	19	8	1	0	0
83	26	-	5							0	0	4	22	10	27	24	10	2	0	0
82	25	-	6							0	0	0	7	3	16	30	27	13	4	1	0	0	0
81	24	-	7								0	0	1	0	3	14	27	29	18	6	1	0	0	0
80	23	-	8									0	0	0	0	2	9	22	29	23	11	3	0	0	0
79	22	-	9										0	0	0	0	1	5	15	27	27	17	6	1	0	0	0
78	21	-	10										0		0	0	0	0	3	10	22	29	23	10	2	0	0	0
77	20	-	11														0	0	0	1	6	17	29	28	14	4	0	0	0
76	19	-	12														0	0	0	0	1	4	14	29	31	17	4	0	0	0
75	18	-	13																0	0	0	0	3	13	30	35	17	2	0	0	0
74	17	-	14																	0	0	0	0	3	15	36	36	9	1	0	0	0
73	16	-	15																		0	0	0	0	4	21	44	24	5	0	0	0	0
72	15	-	16																			0	0	0	1	7	34	38	17	3	0	0	0
71	14	-	17																				0	0	0	2	16	36	32	12	2	0	0
70	13	-	18																					0	0	0	5	21	36	27	10	2	0
69	12	-	19																						0	0	1	8	25	35	23	7	1
68	11	-	20																							0	0	2	11	28	35	20	4
67	10	-	21																							0	0	0	3	14	33	36	14
66	9	-	22																								0	0	0	5	21	43	31
65	8	-	23																									0	0	1	9	38	52
64	7	-	24																										0	0	3	25	72
63	6	-	25																											0	1	14	86
62	5	-	26																											0	0	6	94
61	4	-	27																												0	2	98
60	3	-	28																													1	99
59	2	-	29																													0	100
58	1	-	30																														100
57	0	-	31																													0	100

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	8	13	20	17	13	8	5	3	1