Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Lost to Colorado 5-13, playoff odds down 2.4 to 17%

22-28 .440

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado 13 Houston 5	-2.4		-0.3
Giants 1 Arizona 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston vs Cincinnati	+2.4-2.4		+0.3-0.3
San Diego vs Arizona	+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Cubs	-0.1+0.1
Mets vs St. Louis	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

101	-134				In		100																194	*
100		78	-	34	In		97	3															32
99		77	-	35	In		95	5															59
98		76	-	36	In		96	3		1													113
97		75	-	37	In		93	6		0													236
96		74	-	38	In		88	11		1													476
95		73	-	39	In		78	20	1	1													982
94		72	-	40	In		73	23	2	2													1,600
93		71	-	41	In		61	32	3	3													2,912
92		70	-	42	In		49	38	7	7	0												5,092
91		69	-	43	In		36	43	11	9	1	0											8,162
90		68	-	44	100.0	%	23	44	17	14	2	0	0										12,642
89		67	-	45	100.0		13	39	25	19	4	1	0										19,396
88		66	-	46	99.9		6	30	31	22	9	2	0	0									27,906
87		65	-	47	99.3		2	20	35	22	16	5	1	0	0								39,257
86		64	-	48	96.5		0	10	33	17	24	12	3	0	0								53,380
85		63	-	49	88.3		0	4	27	10	24	23	9	2	0	0	0						68,576
84		62	-	50	70.0		0	1	19	4	18	28	21	8	2	0	0						87,513
83		61	-	51	43.7			0	11	1	8	23	29	19	6	1	0	0					106,420
82		60	-	52	19.6			0	6	0	2	11	26	30	18	6	1	0	0				124,462
81		59	-	53	6.1			0	2	0	0	3	14	28	30	17	5	1	0	0			141,502
80		58	-	54	1.5			0	1	0	0	1	4	15	29	29	16	4	1	0	0		154,444
79		57	-	55	0.3				0	0	0	0	1	5	17	30	29	14	3	0	0		162,427
78		56	-	56	0.0				0			0	0	1	6	20	33	27	11	2	0	0	165,705
77		55	-	57	0.0				0			0	0	0	1	8	23	34	24	8	1	0	161,591
76		54	-	58	Out								0	0	0	2	12	29	35	18	4	0	154,160
75		53	-	59	Out									0	0	0	4	18	35	31	11	1	140,558
74		52	-	60	Out										0	0	1	8	27	38	22	4	124,390
73		51	-	61	Out											0	0	3	16	38	34	9	106,473
72		50	-	62	Out												0	1	8	31	43	17	87,603
71		49	-	63	Out											0	0	0	3	22	46	29	69,775
70		48	-	64	Out												0	0	1	13	44	41	53,142
69		47	-	65	Out													0	0	7	38	54	39,246
68		46	-	66	Out													0	0	4	31	65	27,899
67		45	-	67	Out														0	2	23	75	19,021
66		44	-	68	Out															1	16	83	12,739
65		43	-	69	Out															0	11	89	8,144
64		42	-	70	Out															0	7	93	5,085
63		41	-	71	Out															0	4	96	2,964
62		40	-	72	Out																3	97	1,641
61		39	-	73	Out																2	98	933
60		38	-	74	Out																1	99	479
59		37	-	75	Out																2	98	266
22	-58				Out																	100	403	*

Total:					17.0	%	1	2	5	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	7	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

22	-134

Total: