Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Lost to Miami 3-5, playoff odds down 3.3 to 63.1%

29-21 .580

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Miami 5 Washington 3	-3.4		-0.3
Giants 1 Arizona 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington vs Atlanta	+3.6-3.6		+0.3-0.3
Giants vs Cubs	-0.2+0.2
San Diego vs Arizona	+0.2-0.2
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh	+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

103	-141				In		100																1,180	*
102		73	-	39	In		99	1															978
101		72	-	40	In		99	1															1,644
100		71	-	41	In		98	2		0													2,828
99		70	-	42	In		97	3		0													5,017
98		69	-	43	In		96	4		0													8,337
97		68	-	44	In		94	6	0	1	0												12,622
96		67	-	45	In		90	9	0	1	0												19,159
95		66	-	46	In		84	12	0	3	0												27,935
94		65	-	47	In		77	18	1	5	0												39,539
93		64	-	48	In		67	23	1	8	0	0											53,302
92		63	-	49	In		55	29	3	13	0	0											69,623
91		62	-	50	In		41	33	4	20	1	0											87,125
90		61	-	51	100.0	%	28	34	7	28	3	0	0										106,124
89		60	-	52	100.0		16	31	11	35	7	0	0										124,387
88		59	-	53	99.9		7	24	13	39	14	2	0	0									141,001
87		58	-	54	99.5		3	15	14	38	25	6	1	0	0								153,990
86		57	-	55	97.3		1	7	12	30	34	14	2	0	0	0							162,325
85		56	-	56	90.0		0	2	8	18	36	26	8	1	0	0		0					165,869
84		55	-	57	72.9		0	1	5	7	27	34	20	6	1	0	0	0					162,275
83		54	-	58	46.0		0	0	2	2	13	29	31	17	5	1	0	0	0				154,447
82		53	-	59	20.5			0	1	0	4	16	30	29	15	4	1	0	0				141,268
81		52	-	60	5.9			0	0	0	1	5	17	30	28	14	4	0	0				124,744
80		51	-	61	1.0				0	0	0	1	6	18	31	28	13	3	0	0	0		105,945
79		50	-	62	0.1				0		0	0	1	7	20	31	27	12	2	0	0		87,093
78		49	-	63	0.0							0	0	1	8	22	32	25	9	1	0	0	69,050
77		48	-	64	Out								0	0	2	10	26	34	21	6	1	0	53,136
76		47	-	65	Out								0	0	0	3	14	31	33	16	3	0	39,400
75		46	-	66	Out									0	0	1	5	20	36	28	8	1	27,993
74		45	-	67	Out										0	0	2	10	30	37	19	3	19,084
73		44	-	68	Out											0	0	4	19	40	30	7	12,614
72		43	-	69	Out												0	2	11	33	40	14	8,135
71		42	-	70	Out													0	5	26	46	23	4,995
70		41	-	71	Out														2	16	46	36	3,024
69		40	-	72	Out														1	10	42	47	1,684
68		39	-	73	Out														0	5	37	57	972
67		38	-	74	Out															3	31	66	499
66		37	-	75	Out															1	27	72	245
65		36	-	76	Out															1	14	85	133
64		35	-	77	Out																8	92	59
63		34	-	78	Out																5	95	20
62		33	-	79	Out																20	80	10
29	-61				Out																	100	190	*

Total:					63.1	%	13	10	5	14	12	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

29	-141

Total: