Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2014-6 50/50

Beating Mets 7-3 (Top 8th), playoff odds up 0.04 to 99.9%
83-63   .568

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 +1.0
+0.2
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -0.2
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +0.1
Pirates 2 Reds 1 -0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 +0.8
+0.1
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.2
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -0.1
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +0.1
Pirates 3 Reds 2 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
98-99In100921*
9714-2In10005,091
9613-3In100023,166
9512-4In99175,208
9411-5In9640180,688
9310-6In88120331,169
929-7In69301473,847
918-8In40537532,985
907-9In156520473,276
896-10In3564100331,100
885-11100.0%03565000181,416
874-1299.90168301075,356
863-1398.1491032023,339
852-1487.6183041024,988
841-1554.252323211685
830-1617.0172042202265
Total:99.9%4438180000002,713,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs