"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Losing to Mets 0-1 (Top 5th), playoff odds down 0.1 to 82.5%
64-53   .547

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 10 Nationals 2 -3.2
-0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2 +0.3
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marlins 2 Nationals 9 +3.1
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
99-109In100244*
9834-11In1000356
9733-12In10001,014
9632-13In9912,541
9531-14In97305,720
9430-15In946011,741
9329-16In8713022,132
9228-17In77221037,601
9127-18In62344059,088
9026-19In4346110083,504
8925-20100.0%255123100108,538
8824-21100.01145412000129,469
8723-2299.7431585200140,850
8622-2398.01166966200141,292
8521-2491.306686127200129,099
8420-2573.5015531417810108,627
8319-2647.203719232271083,726
8218-2722.40190317332150058,663
8117-288.0070172735194037,739
8016-291.9201123335152022,298
7915-300.3003173632111011,868
7814-310.0004224226505,790
7713-32Out19304216202,492
7612-33Out03164131811,018
7511-34Out52843204350
7410-35Out10453510105
739-36Out4293825424
728-37Out1133569
717-38Out50502
640-45Out1090100
Total:82.5%1621383455421000001,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs