Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Beat Washington 5-3, playoff odds up 3.8 to 58.9%

29-22 .569

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Miami 5 Washington 3	+3.7		+0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phillies vs Miami	-3.6+3.6		-0.3+0.3
Giants vs Cubs	-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

105	-140				In		100																333	*
104		75	-	36	In		99	1															176
103		74	-	37	In		99	1															344
102		73	-	38	In		100	0															644
101		72	-	39	In		99	0		0													1,212
100		71	-	40	In		99	1		0													2,142
99		70	-	41	In		98	1		0													3,814
98		69	-	42	In		96	3		1													6,243
97		68	-	43	In		94	5	0	1													10,110
96		67	-	44	In		90	8	0	2	0												15,351
95		66	-	45	In		85	11	0	3	0												22,853
94		65	-	46	In		78	16	0	5	0	0											33,063
93		64	-	47	In		68	21	1	9	0	0											45,388
92		63	-	48	In		56	27	2	14	1	0											60,629
91		62	-	49	In		42	32	4	21	1	0											77,956
90		61	-	50	100.0	%	28	33	7	28	4	0	0										96,585
89		60	-	51	100.0		16	30	10	35	8	0	0	0	0								115,901
88		59	-	52	99.9		7	23	13	39	16	2	0	0									133,339
87		58	-	53	99.3		3	14	13	37	26	6	1	0	0								148,102
86		57	-	54	96.8		1	7	12	28	35	15	3	0	0	0	0						159,550
85		56	-	55	88.6		0	2	8	16	35	27	10	2	0	0							165,343
84		55	-	56	70.1		0	1	4	7	25	34	22	7	1	0	0						165,489
83		54	-	57	43.2		0	0	2	2	12	28	32	18	6	1	0	0	0				159,211
82		53	-	58	18.8			0	1	0	3	15	29	30	16	5	1	0	0				148,561
81		52	-	59	5.2			0	0	0	1	4	16	30	29	15	4	1	0	0			133,812
80		51	-	60	0.9				0	0	0	1	5	18	31	28	14	3	0	0	0		115,714
79		50	-	61	0.1				0		0	0	1	6	19	32	27	12	2	0	0		96,528
78		49	-	62	0.0							0	0	1	8	22	33	25	9	2	0	0	78,413
77		48	-	63	0.0							0	0	0	2	10	26	33	21	6	1	0	60,848
76		47	-	64	Out								0	0	0	3	15	31	33	15	3	0	45,899
75		46	-	65	Out										0	1	6	21	36	27	8	1	33,164
74		45	-	66	Out										0	0	2	11	30	37	17	2	23,134
73		44	-	67	Out											0	0	4	21	40	29	6	15,429
72		43	-	68	Out											0	0	2	11	35	39	13	10,035
71		42	-	69	Out													0	5	27	45	23	6,176
70		41	-	70	Out													0	2	17	46	35	3,752
69		40	-	71	Out														1	10	41	48	2,124
68		39	-	72	Out														0	6	35	58	1,199
67		38	-	73	Out														0	2	28	70	629
66		37	-	74	Out															2	21	77	324
65		36	-	75	Out																10	90	164
64		35	-	76	Out															3	7	90	71
63		34	-	77	Out																9	91	43
62		33	-	78	Out																7	93	14
29	-61				Out																	100	189	*

Total:					58.9	%	11	9	5	13	12	10	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	2	1	0	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

29	-140

Total: