Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2014-5 50/50

Beating Mets 7-3 (Top 8th), playoff odds up 0.04 to 99.9%
83-63   .568

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 +1.1
+0.2
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -0.2
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +0.2
Pirates 2 Reds 1 -0.2
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 +0.8
+0.1
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.2
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -0.1
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +0.1
Pirates 3 Reds 2 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
97-99In1005,483*
9613-3In100021,311
9512-4In99170,094
9411-5In9640167,144
9310-6In88120307,127
929-7In68301437,144
918-8In40537494,043
907-9In156520438,530
896-10In3564100307,244
885-11100.0%03565000167,564
874-1299.90168301069,765
863-1398.0490032021,649
852-1487.0182410304,487
841-1557.3054322191648
830-1615.41501547212247
Total:99.9%4438180000002,512,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs