Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Beat Detroit 6-4, playoff odds up 3.8 to 45.6%

26-24 .520

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Boston 6 Detroit 4	+3.6		+0.3
Minnesota 4 Oakland 0	+0.2

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto vs Boston	-3.7+3.7		-0.3+0.3
Cleveland vs Minnesota	-0.2+0.2
Angels vs Texas	-0.2+0.2
Detroit vs Yankees	+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

101	-138				In		100																629	*
100		74	-	38	In		99	1		0													499
99		73	-	39	In		98	1		0													931
98		72	-	40	In		97	2	0	1													1,760
97		71	-	41	In		96	3	0	1													3,002
96		70	-	42	In		93	5	0	2	0												5,104
95		69	-	43	In		89	7	0	3	0												7,956
94		68	-	44	In		84	10	0	6	0												13,073
93		67	-	45	In		75	15	1	9	0												19,024
92		66	-	46	In		64	20	1	15	1												28,233
91		65	-	47	In		51	25	2	21	1	0											38,893
90		64	-	48	100.0	%	36	28	4	29	3	0	0										53,448
89		63	-	49	100.0		22	27	7	37	7	0	0										69,005
88		62	-	50	100.0		12	23	9	42	14	1	0										87,638
87		61	-	51	99.7		5	16	10	42	23	4	0	0									106,713
86		60	-	52	98.7		1	9	9	35	34	10	1	0	0								124,160
85		59	-	53	94.8		0	4	7	23	39	22	5	0	0	0							140,852
84		58	-	54	83.2		0	1	4	11	33	33	14	3	0	0		0					154,301
83		57	-	55	61.4		0	0	2	4	20	36	27	10	1	0	0	0					162,810
82		56	-	56	34.1			0	1	1	8	25	35	23	7	1	0	0					165,672
81		55	-	57	13.0			0	0	0	2	11	28	33	19	5	1	0					162,403
80		54	-	58	3.2				0	0	0	3	14	31	32	16	4	0	0				154,211
79		53	-	59	0.5				0	0	0	0	4	17	33	30	12	2	0	0			141,450
78		52	-	60	0.1				0		0	0	1	7	22	35	26	9	1	0			124,261
77		51	-	61	0.0							0	0	2	10	28	35	20	5	0			106,473
76		50	-	62	0.0							0	0	0	3	16	34	33	12	1			86,942
75		49	-	63	Out								0	0	1	7	25	39	24	4			68,838
74		48	-	64	Out									0	0	2	14	36	36	10			53,362
73		47	-	65	Out									0	0	1	7	28	44	20			39,078
72		46	-	66	Out										0	0	3	19	47	31			27,730
71		45	-	67	Out										0	0	1	11	43	45			19,138
70		44	-	68	Out											0	0	6	37	57			12,753
69		43	-	69	Out												0	3	29	69			7,986
68		42	-	70	Out													1	21	78			4,955
67		41	-	71	Out													0	14	86			2,957
66		40	-	72	Out													0	10	90			1,674
65		39	-	73	Out														6	94			937
64		38	-	74	Out														5	95			499
63		37	-	75	Out														2	98			253
62		36	-	76	Out														3	97			125
61		35	-	77	Out														2	98			52
26	-60				Out															100			220	*

Total:					45.6	%	6	5	3	11	11	10	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	3			2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

26	-138

Total: