Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Lost to Kansas City 3-6, playoff odds down 3.8 to 54.1%

27-23 .540

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6	-3.5		-0.3
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4	-0.2
Boston 6 Detroit 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cleveland vs Minnesota	+3.5-3.5		+0.3-0.3
White Sox vs Seattle	-0.3+0.3
Kansas City vs Oakland	-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

104	-139				In		100																273	*
103		76	-	36	In		99	1															128
102		75	-	37	In		100																225
101		74	-	38	In		99	1		0													472
100		73	-	39	In		99	1															884
99		72	-	40	In		99	1		0													1,773
98		71	-	41	In		98	2		0													2,929
97		70	-	42	In		95	4	0	1													4,960
96		69	-	43	In		93	6	0	1													8,176
95		68	-	44	In		89	9	0	2													12,812
94		67	-	45	In		82	15	0	3													19,238
93		66	-	46	In		73	21	1	5	0	0											27,969
92		65	-	47	In		62	29	3	7	0												39,089
91		64	-	48	In		48	36	5	10	0	0											52,824
90		63	-	49	In		34	42	9	14	1	0											69,839
89		62	-	50	100.0	%	21	43	15	18	2	0	0										87,401
88		61	-	51	100.0		10	39	22	22	6	1	0	0									106,072
87		60	-	52	99.7		4	30	28	23	12	3	0	0									123,919
86		59	-	53	98.9		1	19	32	20	19	7	1	0	0	0							140,470
85		58	-	54	95.2		0	11	31	13	24	16	4	0	0	0							153,769
84		57	-	55	85.1		0	4	27	7	22	25	12	3	0	0							162,134
83		56	-	56	64.8		0	2	20	2	13	28	24	9	2	0	0						165,560
82		55	-	57	38.6			0	13	1	5	19	31	22	7	1	0	0					162,740
81		54	-	58	17.3			0	7	0	1	8	24	32	20	6	1	0	0				154,393
80		53	-	59	6.2			0	4	0	0	2	12	28	32	17	4	0	0				141,143
79		52	-	60	2.0			0	2	0	0	0	4	16	31	30	14	3	0	0			124,421
78		51	-	61	0.6				1		0	0	1	6	20	34	27	10	1	0			106,316
77		50	-	62	0.2				0		0	0	0	1	9	26	35	22	6	0			88,026
76		49	-	63	0.0				0				0	0	3	14	32	34	15	2			69,583
75		48	-	64	0.0				0			0		0	1	6	22	38	28	6			52,874
74		47	-	65	Out									0	0	2	12	34	39	14			39,488
73		46	-	66	0.0				0						0	0	5	24	45	25			28,260
72		45	-	67	Out										0	0	2	15	44	39			19,348
71		44	-	68	Out											0	1	8	39	53			12,588
70		43	-	69	Out												0	4	30	66			8,308
69		42	-	70	Out												0	2	23	76			4,954
68		41	-	71	Out												0	0	15	84			2,919
67		40	-	72	Out													0	10	90			1,662
66		39	-	73	Out														6	94			949
65		38	-	74	Out														5	95			469
64		37	-	75	Out														2	98			239
63		36	-	76	Out														1	99			121
62		35	-	77	Out														4	96			55
27	-61				Out															100			228	*

Total:					54.1	%	8	11	13	7	7	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	2			2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

27	-139

Total: