Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 2015-2 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 26.4%
3-5   .375

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twins vs Indians-2.6+2.6
-0.3+0.3
Royals vs Athletics-0.2+0.2
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.2+0.2
Tigers vs White Sox-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-156In10053,040*
108105-48In1000936
107104-49In1001,888
106103-50In100003,865
105102-51In100007,657
104101-52In1000014,904
103100-53In10000028,277
10299-54In1000052,782
10198-55In1000094,021
10097-56In991000164,790
9996-57In991010279,248
9895-58In982010462,314
9794-59In963010741,423
9693-60100.0%93402001,161,210
9592-61100.090704001,765,103
9491-62100.0841006002,619,810
9390-63100.07614090003,782,321
9289-64100.066201120005,311,344
9188-65100.0542521710007,267,252
9087-6699.9413042320009,691,534
8986-6799.827327294000012,576,229
8885-6899.21630103491000015,895,922
8784-6997.472514361620000019,585,477
8683-7092.531616332571000023,482,198
8582-7181.4191624321530000027,459,771
8481-7262.004131432261020000031,272,026
8380-7337.70196223221710000034,692,010
8279-7417.000511026311961000037,499,090
8178-755.700203132830175100039,499,406
8077-761.601004152929165100040,537,602
7976-770.500001517302815410040,528,607
7875-780.100000161831271330039,501,402
7774-790.000000017213226102037,497,230
7673-800.00000002102533227134,690,510
7572-810.00000000314303316331,270,013
7471-820.000000016213628827,457,870
7370-830.000000021232381623,493,543
7269-84Out00001523432819,585,338
7168-85Out0000214424115,896,344
7067-86Out000018375512,580,116
6966-87Out0000429679,689,894
6865-88Out0000221777,268,453
6764-89Out00115845,317,187
6663-90Out00010903,779,549
6562-91Out0006942,620,444
6461-92Out004961,767,092
6360-93Out002981,160,830
6259-94Out0199741,544
6158-95Out0199461,593
6057-96Out00100278,471
5956-97Out0100164,095
5855-98Out010094,388
5754-99Out010052,595
5653-100Out010028,356
5552-101Out010015,100
3-54Out10067,226*
Total:26.4%544777777778888632,011,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs