Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 2014-5 50/50

Beating Tigers 4-3 (Bot 8th), playoff odds down 0.9 to 5.7%

76-70 .521

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Royals 1 Indians 6	+3.1		+0.3
Mariners 3 Nationals 8	+0.7
White Sox 1 Tigers 7	-0.7
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6	-0.2

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Royals 2 Indians 3	+3.8		+0.3
White Sox 6 Tigers 3	+0.9
White Sox 4 Tigers 8	-0.9
Mariners 1 Nationals 3	+0.8
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0	+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

92	16	-	0	In			9	91	0												236
91	15	-	1	In			3	93	3	1											635
90	14	-	2	99.5	%		1	83	10	5	1										4,555
89	13	-	3	92.9			0	58	15	20	7	1									21,537
88	12	-	4	68.0			0	27	10	31	26	6	0								69,824
87	11	-	5	29.9				8	2	20	40	27	3	0							167,428
86	10	-	6	6.0				1	0	5	27	49	17	1							306,150
85	9	-	7	0.5				0	0	0	8	45	42	5							438,645
84	8	-	8	0.0				0		0	1	22	57	20	0						493,683
83	7	-	9	Out							0	7	50	43	0						437,925
82	6	-	10	Out							0	1	30	68	1						307,587
81	5	-	11	Out								0	13	83	4	0					167,287
80	4	-	12	Out								0	4	81	15	0					70,115
79	3	-	13	Out									1	62	37	0					21,387
78	2	-	14	Out									0	35	62	3					4,596
77	1	-	15	Out										10	77	13	0				647
76	0	-	16	Out										0	58	36	5				243

Total:				5.7	%		0	2	1	3	8	22	34	29	1	0	0				2,512,480

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Royals 1 Indians 6	-0.6

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Royals 2 Indians 3	-0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

92	16	-	0		4	37	34	21	4
91	15	-	1		0	13	37	33	14	3	0
90	14	-	2		0	2	13	29	32	18	5	1		1
89	13	-	3			0	1	8	24	32	21	6	1	7	1
88	12	-	4				0	1	5	16	26	17	4	25	6	0
87	11	-	5					0	0	2	8	13	7	38	28	4	0	0
86	10	-	6						0	0	0	3	3	23	49	20	2	0	0
85	9	-	7								0	0	0	5	34	44	14	2	0
84	8	-	8									0	0	0	10	39	37	13	1	0
83	7	-	9											0	1	14	40	34	10	0
82	6	-	10												0	2	19	41	33	5	0	0
81	5	-	11													0	4	22	49	22	2	0	0
80	4	-	12													0	0	5	32	43	17	3	0	0
79	3	-	13														0	0	8	32	38	18	4	0
78	2	-	14															0	1	8	28	36	22	5	0	0
77	1	-	15																	1	7	23	39	23	7	0
76	0	-	16																		1	4	17	45	24	8	2

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	7	16	21	20	15	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0