Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Beat Angels 9-2, playoff odds up 0.8 to 5.2%

63-65 .492

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Indians 4 Blue Jays 11	-1.8		-0.3

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Indians 10 Blue Jays 7	+1.7		+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

96	33	-	0	In		91	0		8												176,866
95	32	-	1	In		100															7
94	31	-	2	In		66	2		31												127
93	30	-	3	In		41	5	0	53	0											1,371
92	29	-	4	In		25	6	0	68	1											10,492
91	28	-	5	In		10	6	0	80	3											59,437
90	27	-	6	100.0	%	3	4	1	83	8	0										278,067
89	26	-	7	99.8		1	2	1	77	20	0	0									1,064,409
88	25	-	8	98.5		0	1	0	61	36	1	0									3,462,873
87	24	-	9	93.5		0	0	0	41	52	6	0	0								9,601,907
86	23	-	10	80.4		0	0	0	22	59	18	1	0	0							23,031,173
85	22	-	11	57.6		0	0	0	8	49	36	6	0	0	0						48,124,639
84	21	-	12	31.3			0	0	2	29	47	19	3	0	0	0					88,185,013
83	20	-	13	11.8			0	0	0	11	40	36	11	1	0	0					142,359,604
82	19	-	14	2.8				0	0	3	21	41	28	7	1	0	0				203,335,520
81	18	-	15	0.3				0	0	0	6	27	39	22	5	0	0	0			257,517,768
80	17	-	16	0.0					0	0	1	10	30	37	18	4	0	0	0		289,720,218
79	16	-	17	0.0						0	0	2	12	32	34	16	3	0	0	0	289,684,992
78	15	-	18	0.0						0	0	0	2	14	32	33	15	3	0	0	257,523,334
77	14	-	19	Out							0	0	0	3	15	33	32	14	2	0	203,335,509
76	13	-	20	Out								0	0	0	3	17	35	32	12	1	142,390,228
75	12	-	21	Out									0	0	0	4	20	40	31	4	88,171,780
74	11	-	22	Out										0	0	1	7	30	48	14	48,124,761
73	10	-	23	Out										0	0	0	2	15	54	30	23,035,052
72	9	-	24	Out											0	0	0	5	46	49	9,606,660
71	8	-	25	Out												0	0	1	33	66	3,460,213
70	7	-	26	Out													0	0	20	79	1,064,853
69	6	-	27	Out														0	11	89	276,946
68	5	-	28	Out														0	6	94	59,518
67	4	-	29	Out															3	97	10,127
66	3	-	30	Out															1	99	1,420
65	2	-	31	Out															1	99	139
64	1	-	32	Out																100	12
63	0	-	33	Out															0	100	176,865

Total:				5.2	%	0	0	0	1	4	8	12	14	15	13	11	9	6	4	1	2,133,851,900

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Indians 4 Blue Jays 11	+0.6

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Indians 10 Blue Jays 7	-0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

96	33	-	0	4	50	43	3	0
95	32	-	1		29	71
94	31	-	2		20	56	24	1
93	30	-	3	0	7	45	40	7	1	0
92	29	-	4		2	25	48	20	4	0
91	28	-	5		0	9	39	35	13	2	0	0
90	27	-	6		0	2	20	36	28	11	2	0	0	0
89	26	-	7		0	0	6	22	33	25	11	2	0	0	0
88	25	-	8			0	1	7	21	31	25	10	2	1	0	0
87	24	-	9			0	0	1	7	20	32	26	8	6	1	0	0
86	23	-	10			0	0	0	1	6	20	33	21	15	4	0	0	0	0
85	22	-	11				0	0	0	1	6	22	29	22	16	4	0	0	0	0
84	21	-	12					0	0	0	1	7	24	18	30	16	4	0	0	0	0
83	20	-	13						0	0	0	1	11	7	28	32	17	5	1	0	0	0
82	19	-	14							0	0	0	3	1	11	28	31	18	6	1	0	0	0
81	18	-	15								0	0	0	0	2	10	25	31	21	9	2	0	0	0	0
80	17	-	16									0	0	0	0	1	8	20	30	25	12	3	0	0	0	0
79	16	-	17										0	0	0	0	1	5	15	27	28	17	5	1	0	0	0
78	15	-	18										0		0	0	0	0	3	11	24	30	21	8	2	0	0	0
77	14	-	19													0	0	0	0	2	8	21	31	25	11	2	0	0	0
76	13	-	20														0	0	0	0	1	6	19	33	29	12	1	0	0	0
75	12	-	21																0	0	0	1	5	19	36	31	8	1	0	0	0
74	11	-	22																	0	0	0	1	5	23	42	24	5	0	0	0
73	10	-	23																		0	0	0	1	8	33	39	16	3	0	0	0
72	9	-	24																			0	0	0	2	16	37	32	12	2	0	0	0
71	8	-	25																					0	0	5	22	36	27	9	1	0	0
70	7	-	26																					0	0	1	8	24	34	24	8	1	0
69	6	-	27																							0	2	10	26	34	22	6	1
68	5	-	28																							0	0	2	12	28	34	19	4
67	4	-	29																								0	0	4	15	32	35	14
66	3	-	30																										1	5	20	43	32
65	2	-	31																											1	7	36	56
64	1	-	32																													8	92
63	0	-	33																											0	1	12	87

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2	5	7	8	9	10	10	9	9	8	7	5	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0