Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 2012-3WC 50/50

Lost to Pittsburgh 1-2, playoff odds down 3.4 to 57.4%
28-22   .560

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 2 Cincinnati 1 -3.6
-0.3
Colorado 13 Houston 5 +0.2
Dodgers 3 Milwaukee 6 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Cincinnati-3.6+3.6
-0.3+0.3
Mets vs St. Louis+0.2-0.2
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
103-140In100657*
10274-38In1000504
10173-39In991932
10072-40In9911,722
9971-41In982002,935
9870-42In95504,996
9769-43In937008,061
9668-44In891000012,819
9567-45In84150118,996
9466-46In762111027,734
9365-47In662933039,244
9264-48In5437540053,419
9163-49In40431070069,589
9062-50100.0%2646161010087,022
8961-51100.0154324143000106,028
8860-5299.973632177100124,968
8759-5399.52243818134000141,250
8658-5497.711439151992000153,706
8557-5591.1063510221871000162,920
8456-5675.7022741725176100165,616
8355-5750.601171923271651000162,732
8254-5825.401003122628165100153,767
8153-599.105004152828154100141,221
8052-602.62001517302814300124,805
7951-610.71001619312712300106,296
7850-620.2000172132261020087,405
7749-630.000002924342381069,158
7648-640.00003122934184052,861
7547-650.00001418343112139,102
7446-66Out018263823427,940
7345-67Out0031537351019,150
7244-68Out01728442012,703
7143-69Out031945328,176
7042-70Out011142454,903
6941-71Out00635582,936
6840-72Out0328691,663
6739-73Out12277920
6638-74Out01585493
6537-75Out892248
6436-76Out694116
6335-77Out29865
6234-78Out118928
28-61Out100194*
Total:57.4%9121667777665432212,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
28-140
Total: