Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2014-4

Plays at Angels, playoff odds down 0.01 to 99.9%
78-54   .591

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays 0 Athletics 3 +0.1
+0.0
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays 2 Athletics 3 +0.1
+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-108In1001,707*
10527-3In10005,622
10426-4In100023,212
10325-5In1000071,749
10224-6In10000177,650
10123-7In9901360,027
10022-8In97003602,087
9921-9In91108852,885
9820-10In8020181,034,030
9719-11In62403301,077,143
9618-12In4170520970,255
9517-13In2271700757,338
9416-14100.0%8618320517,659
9315-15100.02318680307,086
9214-1699.601179190160,854
9113-1798.000063342072,606
9012-1892.700043507028,700
8911-1979.7024562009,778
8810-2063.0010533523,054
879-2136.53335490751
868-2216.51657234170
857-23Out56321225
846-24Out22789
780-30Out325639583
Total:99.9%59303620000007,034,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs