Manchester Steel Playoff Chances 2018-19 50/50
Beat AMS 46.1-42.7, playoff odds up 6.2 to 22.5%
10 points 5-10-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| MAN 46.1 AMS 42.7 | +10.4 | +0.7 | ||
| NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 | -2.0 | -0.1 | ||
| COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 | -1.8 | -0.1 | ||
| PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 | +1.5 | +0.1 | ||
| HVV 35.9 SUN 39.5 | -0.3 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 1/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NOL vs MAN | -11.5-3.1+11.7 | -0.7-0.1+0.7 | ||
| MOS vs COR | -2.4-0.8+2.4 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||
| HVV vs PRO | +2.0*-0.1-2.0 | |||
| KRL vs AMS | -0.9*+0.0+0.9 | |||
| SUN vs ETO | -0.6-0.5+0.7 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the MAN finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 20 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 0 | 33 | 6 | 51 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 340,238 | ||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.0 | 12 | 0 | 59 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 118,650 | ||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 84.6 | 5 | 0 | 43 | 8 | 29 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1,687,628 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 84.1 | 5 | 0 | 42 | 7 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 16,667 | ||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 49.2 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 27 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 476,192 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 48.5 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 28 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 1,159 | |||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 21.2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 37 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 3,377,404 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 20.3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 38 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 50,175 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 14.6 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 23 | 8 | 48 | |||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2.7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 30 | 3 | 712,441 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 32 | 3 | 2,395 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 48 | 17 | 3,378,150 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 49 | 16 | 50,363 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | 7 | 38 | 45 | 10 | 42 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 474,886 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 1,187 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 68 | 1,689,974 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 29 | 68 | 16,610 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 118,831 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 3 | 97 | 340,894 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 22.5 | % | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 12,853,936 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| MAN 46.1 AMS 42.7 | -0.7 | |
| NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 | +0.1 | |
| COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 | +0.1 | |
| HVV 35.9 SUN 39.5 | -0.1 | |
| PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 1/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NOL vs MAN | +0.7+0.1-0.7 | |
| MOS vs COR | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 20 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 51 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 12 | 0 | 59 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | ||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 43 | 8 | 29 | 14 | 2 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 5 | 0 | 42 | 7 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 0 | ||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 27 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 28 | 39 | 12 | 1 | |||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 37 | 32 | 9 | 0 | |||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 38 | 33 | 8 | 0 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 23 | 8 | |||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 30 | 3 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 32 | 3 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 48 | 17 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 49 | 16 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 7 | 38 | 45 | 10 | ||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 42 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 8 | 48 | 43 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 68 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 68 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 11 | 89 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 97 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 19 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:48 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
