How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 +14.1
+0.8
NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 -3.5
-0.2
PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 +2.2
+0.1
MAN 46.1 AMS 42.7 +1.4
HVV 35.9 SUN 39.5 -0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
KRL vs AMS+18.1+0.4-18.2
+1.0+0.0-1.0
MOS vs COR-3.3-0.9+3.4
-0.1-0.1+0.1
HVV vs PRO+2.5*+0.2-2.6
NOL vs MAN+2.5+0.6-2.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
SUN vs ETO-0.6-0.7+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the KRL finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
225-0-0In2762181000340,627
214-0-1In049113910119,265
204-1-099.9%03465452001,688,408
3-0-299.903445642016,671
193-1-198.81406961010475,696
2-0-398.5140706911,210
183-2-087.1605452212103,379,088
2-1-287.86055522111050,448
1-0-489.762281029
172-2-158.913412333700713,433
1-1-359.713412532802,378
0-0-5In1001
162-3-025.90150103829703,374,263
1-2-225.50160939297050,240
0-1-436.217193226647
151-3-15.3412345242474,815
0-2-35.54224452421,106
141-4-01.11073147151,689,868
0-3-21.010730481516,638
130-4-10.1001125434118,305
120-5-00.00033562341,400
Total:54.3%009131211171410412,853,936
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 1/12100.0*Lottery seed
COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 -0.8
NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 +0.2
PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/19100.0*Lottery seed
KRL vs AMS-1.0-0.0+1.0
NOL vs MAN-0.1-0.0+0.1
MOS vs COR+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T123456789101112
225-0-02762181000
214-0-1049113910
204-1-00346545200
3-0-2034456420
193-1-11406961010
2-0-314070691
183-2-060545221210
2-1-260555221110
1-0-4622810
172-2-113412333700
1-1-31341253280
0-0-5100
162-3-0015010382970
1-2-201609392970
0-1-4171932266
151-3-1412345242
0-2-3422445242
141-4-0107314715
0-3-2107304815
130-4-1001125434
120-5-00033562
Total:0091312111714104