How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 +14.4
+0.8
COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 -3.1
-0.1
PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 +2.3
+0.1
MAN 46.1 AMS 42.7 +1.7
+0.1
HVV 35.9 SUN 39.5 -0.5
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MOS vs COR+16.9+0.5-17.0
+1.0-0.0-1.0
HVV vs PRO+2.8+0.5-2.8
NOL vs MAN+2.8+0.6-2.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
KRL vs AMS-1.4+0.9+1.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
SUN vs ETO-0.6-0.7+0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the MOS finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
225-0-0In2117211400340,148
214-0-1100.0%0641123100118,592
204-1-099.904364352001,688,135
3-0-299.904044862016,721
193-1-198.81906261110474,009
2-0-398.31906271021,202
183-2-086.0804952413103,377,625
2-1-284.87049424141050,373
1-0-490.255612177241
172-2-159.213212634600713,898
1-1-359.713212634602,346
0-0-5Out1001
162-3-025.20130114028603,377,086
1-2-224.801301140296050,040
0-1-426.11793930446
151-3-15.4422846191475,487
0-2-36.04230471711,138
141-4-01.11093543121,690,055
0-3-21.210935431216,802
130-4-10.001175428118,620
120-5-00.00053857341,571
Total:53.8%0011127212181510312,853,936
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 1/12100.0*Lottery seed
NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 -0.8
COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 +0.1
MAN 46.1 AMS 42.7 -0.1
PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 -0.1
HVV 35.9 SUN 39.5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/19100.0*Lottery seed
MOS vs COR-1.0+0.0+1.0
NOL vs MAN-0.1-0.0+0.1
KRL vs AMS+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T123456789101112
225-0-02117211400
214-0-10641123100
204-1-00436435200
3-0-2040448620
193-1-11906261110
2-0-3190627102
183-2-080495241310
2-1-270494241410
1-0-4556121772
172-2-113212634600
1-1-31321263460
0-0-5100
162-3-0013011402860
1-2-2013011402960
0-1-417939304
151-3-1422846191
0-2-3423047171
141-4-0109354312
0-3-2109354312
130-4-101175428
120-5-00053857
Total:00111272121815103