Hidden Valley Voltigeurs Playoff Chances 2018-19 50/50
Lost to SUN 35.9-39.5, playoff odds down 6.6 to 5.9%
8 points 4-11-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| HVV 35.9 SUN 39.5 | -7.6 | -0.5 | ||
| PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 | +2.6 | +0.1 | ||
| NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 | -0.9 | -0.1 | ||
| COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| MAN 46.1 AMS 42.7 | +0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 1/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| HVV vs PRO | +5.4-3.0-5.2 | +0.5-0.2-0.5 | ||
| MOS vs COR | -0.7-0.4+0.8 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| NOL vs MAN | +0.5*-0.1-0.5 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| KRL vs AMS | -0.2-0.3+0.2 | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | ||
| SUN vs ETO | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the HVV finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 18 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 85.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 14 | 71 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 340,664 | |||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 46.9 | 1 | 46 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 118,417 | |||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 22.7 | 0 | 22 | 47 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1,692,029 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 19.5 | 0 | 19 | 48 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 16,762 | ||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1.6 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 30 | 5 | 474,554 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 27 | 5 | 1,155 | |||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 44 | 19 | 3,377,870 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 46 | 21 | 50,256 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | 4 | 35 | 33 | 27 | 48 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 56 | 711,917 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 6 | 38 | 55 | 2,413 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 3,375,743 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 50,229 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | 18 | 82 | 39 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 475,293 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 1,221 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 99 | 1,689,209 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 16,574 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | -9 | Out | 100 | 459,543 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 5.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 48 | 12,853,936 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| HVV 35.9 SUN 39.5 | +0.5 | |
| NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 | +0.1 | |
| COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 | +0.1 | |
| PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 1/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| HVV vs PRO | -0.5+0.2+0.5 | |
| NOL vs MAN | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| KRL vs AMS | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| MOS vs COR | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 18 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 71 | 14 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 46 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 22 | 47 | 25 | 5 | 0 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 19 | 48 | 27 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 30 | 5 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 27 | 5 | |||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 44 | 19 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 46 | 21 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 4 | 35 | 33 | 27 | ||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 56 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 55 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 18 | 82 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 96 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 4 | 96 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | -9 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 48 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:48 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
