How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -3.1
-0.2
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 -1.3
-0.2
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 +0.7
+0.0
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 +0.2
+0.1
Portuguesa 2 Macae 1 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Resende vs Boavista+3.8-2.4-3.7
+0.5-0.2-0.5
Macae vs Resende-3.8-2.6+3.3
-0.6-0.2+0.4
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira-2.6+0.5+2.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+1.0-1.0-3.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-1.9+0.4+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda+1.5+0.8-1.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Bangu+0.1-0.0-0.7
+0.0-0.1-0.3
Bangu vs Botafogo-0.3+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa+0.1*+0.0-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Portuguesa vs Madureira-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Resende finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
174-0-060.2%603640467,453
153-1-027.9285220101,178,033
143-0-112.2124936301,886,635
132-2-05.053849701,110,074
122-1-11.4121581813,510,662
112-0-20.208533352,731,517
1-3-0Out749378458,746
101-2-1Out34044132,143,453
91-1-2Out02250273,281,678
0-4-0Out11464269,908
81-0-3Out944471,644,201
0-3-1Out73955429,676
70-2-2Out43165972,890
60-1-3Out11782958,175
50-0-4Out496352,307
Total:4.5%41533282021,195,408
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 +0.3
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 +0.1
Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 +0.1
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 -0.1
Portuguesa 2 Macae 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Lottery seed
Resende vs Boavista-0.9+0.3+1.1
Macae vs Resende+1.0+0.4-0.7
Flamengo vs Bangu-0.0+0.1+0.3
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa-0.1-0.0+0.2
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.1-0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.1-0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Macae-0.0+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Fluminense+0.1+0.0-0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
174-0-0144433810
153-1-00731401930
143-0-100629441910
132-2-00113433840
122-1-100221552020
112-0-200440421310
1-3-033843141
101-2-1123462740
91-1-2063245160
0-4-022050271
81-0-311143414
0-3-111042444
70-2-203285614
60-1-3095437
50-0-412772
Total:013611222118134