How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 -8.2
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 -3.4
-0.0
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 +2.3
+0.0
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 +1.3
+0.0
Portuguesa 2 Macae 1 -0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira+17.0-5.5-17.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-6.0+4.6+22.3
-0.1+0.1+0.3
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-15.9+5.2+9.8
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda+11.7+7.6-12.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Flamengo vs Bangu+0.5*-0.0-4.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Resende vs Boavista-2.4+1.6+2.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Macae vs Resende+2.4+1.7-2.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo-2.2+0.6+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa+0.6+0.2-1.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira-1.3+0.4+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vasco da Gama finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
234-0-0In1387194,349
213-1-099.5%2981701,449
203-0-199.119811,467,323
192-2-097.20973838,398
182-1-191.692803,206,355
172-0-286.38613002,874,639
1-3-083.9841600407,631
161-2-173.073261002,201,520
151-1-254.054415003,763,300
0-4-047.0474660069,876
141-0-341.0414711102,058,901
0-3-135.335501410480,175
130-2-220.8215223301,188,726
120-1-38.0841381211,256,444
110-0-43.542943213486,322
Total:65.9%0662572021,195,408
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 +0.2
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 +0.2
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -0.0
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Lottery seed
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira-0.9+0.2+1.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.3-0.2-1.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense+0.2+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo-0.1-0.1+0.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira-0.1-0.1+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda-0.1-0.1+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa+0.1-0.1-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.1-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Bangu-0.0+0.0+0.1
Macae vs Resende-0.1-0.0+0.1
Resende vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
234-0-0016831
213-1-02881000
203-0-107026300
192-2-005637700
182-1-127472340
172-0-2735411510
1-3-0936401410
161-2-12204230600
151-1-20425462320
0-4-00218473030
141-0-300738431110
0-3-100737441110
130-2-201185027400
120-1-30327452130
110-0-400937381410
Total:00161920201572100