How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa 2 Macae 1 +0.7
+0.3
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 -0.2
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 +0.1
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 +0.0
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa-1.0-0.4+3.0
-0.3-0.0+0.7
Portuguesa vs Madureira+2.3-0.6-1.0
+0.6-0.1-0.3
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira-0.8+0.2+0.9
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.3-0.3-1.0
Boavista vs Volta Redonda+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Bangu+0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.3
Resende vs Boavista-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Macae vs Resende+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portuguesa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
174-0-057.3%573850109,221
153-1-022.823502520384,922
143-0-110.010443970798,035
132-2-03.332950161523,942
122-1-10.8114483262,167,102
112-0-20.1053944122,234,061
1-3-0Out4344716313,382
101-2-1Out12249281,942,417
91-1-2Out0942483,985,694
0-4-0Out5365970,231
81-0-3Out433642,720,551
0-3-1Out22770576,151
70-2-2Out117821,760,758
60-1-3Out05952,391,798
50-0-4Out01001,217,143
Total:1.3%1617294721,195,408
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Portuguesa 2 Macae 1 -0.8
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 +0.1
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Lottery seed
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa+0.4-0.0-1.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira-1.0+0.1+0.5
Flamengo vs Bangu-0.0+0.0+0.3
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.2-0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Macae-0.0+0.0+0.2
Macae vs Resende-0.0-0.1+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda+0.1-0.0-0.0
Resende vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
174-0-0204726500
153-1-00932381730
143-0-101831411820
132-2-001123840900
122-1-10115463160
112-0-200329462020
1-3-0225482320
101-2-10114139100
91-1-2022147291
0-4-011447371
81-0-30736534
0-3-10535555
70-2-201166914
60-1-3037027
50-0-405347
Total:00125111823328