How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 -16.4
-0.3
Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 -11.8
-0.2
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 +3.5
+0.0
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira-10.6-4.5+16.5
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Portuguesa vs Madureira-12.8-7.7+11.0
-0.4-0.2+0.3
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa-6.2+5.8+9.5
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+7.6+3.7-8.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense-8.3-0.8+2.3
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo+5.3+2.9-4.2
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Resende vs Boavista+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Madureira finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
234-0-094.8%19450240,693
213-1-077.678211817,712
203-0-165.7663131,642,453
192-2-047.848448923,233
182-1-130.23052183,398,656
172-0-218.418513102,927,540
1-3-013.71448380428,018
161-2-17.78424912,217,475
151-1-22.73306533,619,243
0-4-01.212274370,355
141-0-30.81177471,870,471
0-3-10.5013789462,228
130-2-20.108801201,086,552
120-1-30.003732401,089,924
110-0-4Out062370400,855
Total:20.3%02033424021,195,408
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 +0.6
Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 +0.2
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 -0.1
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Lottery seed
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira+0.8+0.1-1.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira+1.0+0.3-0.7
Botafogo vs Fluminense+0.2+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.0+0.2
Bangu vs Botafogo-0.1-0.1+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda-0.1-0.1+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa+0.1-0.1-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Bangu-0.0+0.0+0.1
Macae vs Resende-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
234-0-00336430
213-1-04752110
203-0-116233400
192-2-0043461000
182-1-121492640
172-0-2735421610
1-3-0635441410
161-2-12194430500
151-1-20425462320
0-4-00220472820
141-0-300738421210
0-3-100737441110
130-2-201174729500
120-1-30323422750
110-0-40625412430
Total:01152221201363100