How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 -1.9
-0.2
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 -0.5
-0.2
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 +0.4
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 +0.2
+0.1
Portuguesa 2 Macae 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flamengo vs Bangu-0.8+0.2+7.7
-0.1+0.1+0.9
Bangu vs Botafogo+3.7-1.0-1.5
+0.7-0.1-0.3
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira-1.2+0.4+1.3
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.4-0.3-1.5
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-0.8+0.1+0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda+0.7+0.3-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Resende vs Boavista-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Macae vs Resende+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.3
Portuguesa vs Madureira-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bangu finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
184-0-075.0%7524147,139
163-1-039.339491200254,976
153-0-122.723502520638,334
142-2-06.16414490443,511
132-1-13.3330511512,050,333
122-0-20.8115513042,288,738
1-3-00.20849376301,825
111-2-1Out43547141,982,903
101-1-2Out12651214,236,188
0-4-0Out023522569,959
91-0-3Out01349372,948,891
0-3-1Out84547588,276
80-2-2Out332651,797,811
70-1-3Out125732,388,208
60-0-4Out013871,158,316
Total:1.9%2824353121,195,408
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 +0.3
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 +0.1
Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 +0.1
Portuguesa 2 Macae 1 +0.1
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Lottery seed
Bangu vs Botafogo-1.2+0.1+0.6
Flamengo vs Bangu+0.2-0.2-1.5
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa-0.1-0.0+0.2
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.2-0.0-0.1
Fluminense vs Macae-0.0+0.0+0.2
Macae vs Resende-0.1-0.1+0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda+0.1-0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.1+0.0-0.1
Resende vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
184-0-028551510
163-1-02234326600
153-0-106283922400
142-2-0003204230500
132-1-101935431200
122-0-200114463450
1-3-00053845110
111-2-1120482830
101-1-2010443970
0-4-007414380
91-0-3022551211
0-3-111753281
80-2-20538517
70-1-301245521
60-0-4084646
Total:01237152326186