How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 3/18 100.0* Chance in playoffs Resende 0 Flamengo 1 +0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/22 100.0* Chance in playoffs Flamengo vs Bangu In-0.0-0.0 Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama In*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TP W - D - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 Count 25 -33 In 100 20,586,082 * 24 0 - 3 - 1 In 98 2 197,424 1 - 0 - 3 In 100 164,315 23 0 - 2 - 2 99.9 % 94 6 0 0 174,281 22 0 - 1 - 3 99.9 93 7 0 61,466 21 0 - 0 - 4 99.5 84 15 1 11,840 Total: 100.0 % 100 0 0 0 21,195,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 Week of 3/18 100.0* Lottery seed Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 -0.2 Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/22 100.0* Lottery seed Flamengo vs Bangu -0.1+0.1+0.2 Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama -0.1+0.1+0.2 Botafogo vs Fluminense -0.1-0.1+0.1 Fluminense vs Macae +0.0-0.1-0.1

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 31 -33 100 30 3 - 0 - 1 91 9 29 2 - 2 - 0 100 28 2 - 1 - 1 71 29 27 2 - 0 - 2 42 58 1 - 3 - 0 73 27 26 1 - 2 - 1 39 61 25 1 - 1 - 2 18 82 0 - 4 - 0 29 71 24 0 - 3 - 1 12 86 2 1 - 0 - 3 7 93 23 0 - 2 - 2 4 89 7 0 0 22 0 - 1 - 3 1 87 12 0 21 0 - 0 - 4 0 77 22 1 Total: 78 22 0 0 0