How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 1/31None
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Saturday, 2/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense-10.0InIn
-0.5-0.4+0.6
Volta Redonda vs Portuguesa-3.2InIn
-0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
131-0-0In10011,008,031
110-1-0In1006,318,789
100-0-184.7%85159,014,196
Total:94.8%4253526,341,016
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday, 1/31100.0*Lottery seed
Bangu 1 Cabofriense 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Saturday, 2/2100.0*Lottery seed
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense+1.0+0.4-1.1
Volta Redonda vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
131-0-0937
110-1-04753
100-0-11559215
Total:39193372