How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 +10.8
+0.1
Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 -8.9
-0.2
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 -5.2
-0.1
Bangu 0 Boavista 0 +0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Fluminense+25.5+1.9-7.0
+0.5+0.1-0.2
Bangu vs Botafogo-15.4-8.8+12.5
-0.4-0.2+0.3
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+9.4+4.6-10.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa-7.7+7.1+11.8
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira+4.2+1.6-6.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Portuguesa vs Madureira+5.0+2.9-4.3
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda-0.1+0.1+0.1
Resende vs Boavista+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
234-0-095.2%19450364,744
213-1-079.5802011,112,157
203-0-168.4682922,086,690
192-2-051.8524261,124,097
182-1-133.93452143,784,100
172-0-221.121532602,868,120
1-3-016.51650330468,031
161-2-19.810474202,210,757
151-1-23.64355923,225,230
0-4-01.722769370,400
141-0-31.11217171,491,007
0-3-10.7116758420,901
130-2-20.201078120891,125
120-1-30.00472240807,682
110-0-4Out162370270,367
Total:26.2%02637343021,195,408
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Fluminense 1 Nova Iguacu 3 +0.2
Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 0 +0.1
Volta Redonda 3 Madureira 2 -0.1
Resende 0 Flamengo 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/22100.0*Lottery seed
Bangu vs Botafogo+1.0+0.3-0.7
Botafogo vs Fluminense-1.1-0.2+0.3
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.0+0.3
Portuguesa vs Madureira-0.1-0.1+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Portuguesa+0.1-0.1-0.1
Boavista vs Volta Redonda-0.1-0.1+0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Bangu-0.0+0.0+0.1
Macae vs Resende-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
234-0-00336430
213-1-04742110
203-0-11613530
192-2-0041491000
182-1-120522530
172-0-2839421010
1-3-053246151
161-2-12204826400
151-1-205314319200
0-4-00223472620
141-0-3011036381310
0-3-100939421010
130-2-202184430600
120-1-3002184131700
110-0-40318413260
Total:01182523161042100