Winterfell Direwolves Playoff Chances 2015-16 50/50
Beat Leafs 54.1-53.8 (ot), playoff odds up 0.6 to 85.9%
11 points 5-1 2-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Direwolves 54.1 Leafs 53.8 (ot) | +5.9 | +0.7 | ||
| Lumberjacks 58.6 Buccaneers 70.5 | -0.3 | |||
| Falcons 81.7 Aces 72.7 | +0.2 | |||
| Lions 57.6 Wolves 81.9 | -0.2 | |||
| Sabres 36.4 Millionaires 47.6 | +0.1 | |||
| Sags 52.5 Bulls 56.2 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bulls vs Direwolves | -6.1+0.8+6.0 | -0.8+0.0+0.7 | ||
| Whalers vs Falcons | -0.5*-0.1+0.5 | |||
| Lumberjacks vs Gauntlets | +0.5*-0.1-0.5 | |||
| Millionaires vs Lions | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | |||
| Aces vs Sags | +0.2*-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Wolves vs Leafs | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Direwolves finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | |||||
| 40 | -41 | In | 100 | 1,179 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 729 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | 1,933 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 13 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 6,539 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 93 | 7 | 0 | 13,101 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 12 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 87 | 13 | 0 | 32,511 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 11 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 56,560 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 10 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 66 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 53,820 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 66 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 56,473 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 10 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 51 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 121,473 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 52 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 42,581 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 35 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 134,219 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 34 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 129,636 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 19 | 50 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 242,291 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 20 | 51 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 96,687 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 8 | 40 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 241,496 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 8 | 40 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 181,718 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 9 | 41 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 41,426 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 3 | 23 | 44 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 363,221 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 3 | 24 | 45 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 156,401 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 7 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0 | 9 | 34 | 38 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 322,919 | |||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 233,564 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 0 | 9 | 34 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 58,460 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 415,728 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 182,717 | * | ||||||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 322,575 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234,202 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 99.9 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 58,745 | * | |||||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 98.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 363,284 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 98.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 156,872 | * | |||||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 86.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242,181 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 86.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 181,827 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 4 | 86.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 41,539 | * | ||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 54.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242,045 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 3 | 55.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 96,930 | * | |||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 134,414 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 108,665 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 4 | 19.8 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 20,685 | * | |||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 1 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 121,261 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 42,652 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 54,225 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 56,601 | * | |||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 5 | 56,603 | * | |||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 16 | 32,624 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 33 | 13,320 | * | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 8 | 39 | 53 | 6,288 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 1,920 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 16 | 84 | 719 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 11 | 89 | 117 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 0 | 15 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 2 | 98 | 1,052 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 85.9 | % | 8 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5,778,728 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:09 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
