Las Vegas Aces Playoff Chances 2015-16 50/50
Lost to Falcons 72.7-81.7, playoff odds down 5.5 to 79.9%
10 points 5-0 3-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Falcons 81.7 Aces 72.7 | -5.5 | -0.7 | ||
| Direwolves 54.1 Leafs 53.8 (ot) | +0.3 | |||
| Lumberjacks 58.6 Buccaneers 70.5 | -0.3 | |||
| Lions 57.6 Wolves 81.9 | -0.2 | |||
| Sabres 36.4 Millionaires 47.6 | +0.2 | |||
| Sags 52.5 Bulls 56.2 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Aces vs Sags | +7.5+0.7-7.7 | +0.8+0.0-0.8 | ||
| Lumberjacks vs Gauntlets | +0.6*-0.0-0.6 | |||
| Whalers vs Falcons | -0.6*-0.1+0.6 | |||
| Bulls vs Direwolves | -0.3*-0.0+0.3 | |||
| Millionaires vs Lions | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | |||
| Wolves vs Leafs | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Aces finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | |||||
| 40 | 15 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 1,070 | |||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 14 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 676 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 97 | 3 | 1,923 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 13 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | 6,353 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 88 | 11 | 0 | 13,333 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 12 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 32,399 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 11 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 67 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 56,706 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 10 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 52 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 53,281 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 52 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 56,229 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 31 | 10 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 35 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 121,790 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 36 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 42,521 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 21 | 50 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 155,317 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 20 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 109,158 | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 9 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 9 | 40 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 242,451 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 9 | 41 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 96,966 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 3 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 242,090 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 3 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181,393 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 3 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 41,719 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0 | 9 | 34 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 363,839 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0 | 9 | 34 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 156,384 | * | |||||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 322,908 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 233,190 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 58,512 | * | ||||||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 414,202 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 182,914 | * | |||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 98.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 323,958 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 98.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234,391 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 98.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 58,636 | * | ||||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 88.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 362,921 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 88.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 156,192 | * | |||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 58.7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242,117 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 58.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 181,870 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 4 | 58.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 41,911 | * | |||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 241,143 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 3 | 22.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 96,667 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 134,672 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 129,746 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 121,087 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 42,738 | * | |||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 4 | 54,062 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 4 | 56,708 | * | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 40 | 14 | 56,839 | * | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 47 | 31 | 32,222 | * | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 50 | 13,246 | * | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 28 | 69 | 6,347 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 1 | 17 | 82 | 1,912 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 7 | 93 | 715 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 7 | 93 | 138 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 15 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 1 | 99 | 1,067 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 79.9 | % | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5,778,728 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:09 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
