Bavarian Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2015-16 50/50
Lost to Direwolves 53.8-54.1 (ot), playoff odds down 0.4 to 50.6%
7 points 3-0 4-1 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Direwolves 54.1 Leafs 53.8 (ot) | -10.1 | -0.8 | ||
| Lumberjacks 58.6 Buccaneers 70.5 | -0.6 | |||
| Falcons 81.7 Aces 72.7 | +0.5 | |||
| Lions 57.6 Wolves 81.9 | -0.4 | |||
| Sabres 36.4 Millionaires 47.6 | +0.3 | |||
| Sags 52.5 Bulls 56.2 | -0.2 | |||
| Gauntlets 50.4 Whalers 54.1 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wolves vs Leafs | -10.6-0.2+10.7 | -0.8-0.0+0.8 | ||
| Lumberjacks vs Gauntlets | +0.9*-0.0-0.9 | |||
| Whalers vs Falcons | -0.9*-0.1+0.9 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Bulls vs Direwolves | -0.4*-0.1+0.5 | |||
| Millionaires vs Lions | -0.4*+0.2+0.3 | |||
| Aces vs Sags | +0.3-0.2-0.3 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Leafs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | |||||
| 37 | 15 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 1,069 | |||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 14 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 92 | 8 | 119 | |||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 89 | 11 | 736 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 79 | 20 | 1 | 1,928 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 13 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 68 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 6,384 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 53 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 13,100 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 12 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 36 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 32,480 | * | |||||||||||||
| 30 | 11 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 20 | 49 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 56,626 | * | |||||||||||||
| 29 | 10 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 8 | 38 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53,780 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 8 | 38 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 56,390 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 10 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 2 | 21 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 120,955 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 3 | 21 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 42,979 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 9 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0 | 7 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 134,654 | |||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0 | 7 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 129,765 | * | |||||||||||
| 26 | 9 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 242,444 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 97,341 | * | ||||||||||
| 25 | 8 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 99.9 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242,094 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.9 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 180,735 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 99.9 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 42,027 | * | ||||||||||
| 24 | 8 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 97.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 363,174 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 97.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 156,042 | * | |||||||||
| 23 | 7 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 84.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 323,654 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234,000 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 84.6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 58,486 | * | ||||||||||
| 22 | 7 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 51.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 429,876 | * | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 51.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167,249 | |||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 322,797 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 235,736 | * | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 55,996 | ||||||||||
| 20 | 6 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 363,736 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 155,896 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 243,421 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 182,079 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 4 | 0.3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 41,664 | * | ||||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 40 | 26 | 4 | 241,746 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 26 | 5 | 96,470 | * | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 14 | 134,648 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 41 | 14 | 129,733 | * | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 47 | 31 | 121,226 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 31 | 42,555 | * | |||||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 50 | 53,968 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 50 | 56,507 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 56,516 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 18 | 82 | 32,482 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 9 | 91 | 13,364 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 5 | 95 | 6,296 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 2 | 98 | 1,892 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 1 | 99 | 743 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 1 | 99 | 116 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 0 | 15 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 1,054 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 50.6 | % | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 5,778,728 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:09 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
