Chicoutimi Sags Playoff Chances 2015-16 50/50
Lost to Bulls 52.5-56.2, playoff odds down 8.9 to 61.8%
8 points 4-0 4-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sags 52.5 Bulls 56.2 | -9.1 | -0.8 | ||
| Lumberjacks 58.6 Buccaneers 70.5 | -0.5 | |||
| Direwolves 54.1 Leafs 53.8 (ot) | +0.5 | |||
| Falcons 81.7 Aces 72.7 | +0.4 | |||
| Lions 57.6 Wolves 81.9 | -0.3 | |||
| Sabres 36.4 Millionaires 47.6 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Aces vs Sags | -10.0+0.4+10.0 | -0.8+0.0+0.8 | ||
| Lumberjacks vs Gauntlets | +0.9*+0.1-0.9 | |||
| Whalers vs Falcons | -0.8*-0.1+0.8 | |||
| Bulls vs Direwolves | -0.4*-0.1+0.5 | |||
| Millionaires vs Lions | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | |||
| Wolves vs Leafs | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Sags finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | |||||
| 38 | 15 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 1,057 | |||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 14 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 97 | 3 | 137 | |||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 93 | 7 | 683 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 89 | 11 | 0 | 1,790 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 13 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 6,371 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 68 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 13,234 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 12 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 53 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 32,580 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 11 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 36 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 56,516 | * | |||||||||||||
| 30 | 10 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 21 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 53,430 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 21 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 56,641 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 10 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 9 | 39 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 121,138 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 9 | 40 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 42,961 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 9 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 3 | 23 | 43 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 134,051 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 3 | 23 | 43 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 129,365 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 9 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0 | 8 | 32 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 241,776 | |||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0 | 8 | 32 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 96,744 | * | |||||||||||
| 26 | 8 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242,702 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 182,130 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 41,809 | * | |||||||||||
| 25 | 8 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 376,077 | * | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 143,350 | ||||||||||
| 24 | 7 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 98.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 323,110 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 98.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 233,096 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 98.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 58,395 | * | ||||||||||
| 23 | 7 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 86.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 414,541 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 86.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 183,303 | * | |||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 55.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 323,637 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 55.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 233,891 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 55.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 58,505 | * | ||||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 363,654 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 156,119 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 242,368 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 182,447 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 41,624 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 242,671 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 96,386 | * | |||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 23 | 4 | 134,786 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 4 | 129,324 | * | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 40 | 13 | 121,379 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 40 | 13 | 42,219 | * | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | 0 | 3 | 21 | 47 | 29 | 60,493 | * | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 47 | 29 | 49,993 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 48 | 56,330 | * | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 31 | 66 | 32,353 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 1 | 18 | 81 | 13,249 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 10 | 90 | 6,452 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 95 | 1,946 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 2 | 98 | 727 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 100 | 129 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 15 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 1,059 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 61.8 | % | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5,778,728 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:09 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
