Chesterfield Title Chances 2014-2015Beat Barnsley 2-1, title odds up 0.07 to 0.2% 24 points 6-6-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 | -1.7 | | -3.5 | | +0.3 | | -0.6 | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Oldham 2 Walsall 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | -0.6 | | -2.5 | | +0.5 | | -0.7 | | Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 | -0.5 | | -1.7 | | +0.2 | | -0.4 | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | -0.4 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | | | Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | | | Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 | +0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chesterfield finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 28 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,902 | | 98 | -100 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45 | * | 97 | | 23 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96 | * | 96 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 97.6 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 164 | * | 95 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 96.7 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 424 | * | 94 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 93.9 | | 99.9 | % | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 891 | * | 93 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 92.4 | | 99.8 | | 92 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,809 | * | 92 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 88.7 | | 99.7 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,719 | * | 91 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 85.3 | | 99.5 | | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,023 | * | 90 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 79.6 | | 98.8 | | 80 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,246 | * | 89 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 72.3 | | 97.9 | | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,557 | * | 88 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 65.4 | | 96.5 | | 65 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,816 | * | 87 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 56.1 | | 94.1 | | 56 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,547 | * | 86 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 47.1 | | 90.5 | | 47 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,500 | * | 85 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 37.6 | | 85.6 | | 38 | 43 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 197,066 | * | 84 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 28.7 | | 79.4 | | 29 | 44 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 313,493 | * | 83 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 20.5 | | 71.5 | | 21 | 41 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 489,214 | * | 82 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 13.6 | | 62.7 | | 14 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 743,193 | * | 81 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 8.4 | | 53.7 | | 8 | 30 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,102,838 | * | 80 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 4.7 | | 45.1 | | 5 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,600,487 | * | 79 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 2.4 | | 37.8 | | 2 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,271,106 | * | 78 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 1.1 | | 32.2 | | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,155,018 | * | 77 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.4 | | 28.1 | | 0 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,280,903 | * | 76 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,684,186 | * | 75 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 22.3 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,387,932 | * | 74 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 19.1 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,408,154 | * | 73 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 15.2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,728,445 | * | 72 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 10.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,317,623 | * | 71 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 6.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,107,817 | * | 70 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 3.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,023,135 | * | 69 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 1.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,972,586 | * | 68 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | No | 0.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,797,151 | * | 67 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 28,371,129 | * | 66 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 30,558,686 | * | 65 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 32,252,376 | * | 64 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 33,322,367 | * | 63 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 33,724,934 | * | 62 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 33,417,560 | * | 61 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 32,427,094 | * | 60 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 30,781,454 | * | 59 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 28,596,437 | * | 58 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 26,004,912 | * | 57 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 23,118,376 | * | 56 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 20,085,202 | * | 55 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | | 17,086,983 | * | 54 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 | | 14,183,103 | * | 53 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12.1 | | 11,510,981 | * | 52 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24.0 | | 9,113,012 | * | 51 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 40.1 | | 7,044,717 | * | 50 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 57.6 | | 5,312,501 | * | 49 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 73.3 | | 3,898,632 | * | 48 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 36 | 17 | 2 | 85.1 | | 2,789,598 | * | 47 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 5 | 92.6 | | 1,942,682 | * | 46 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 35 | 9 | 96.8 | | 1,314,212 | * | 45 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 98.7 | | 863,353 | * | 44 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 46 | 22 | 99.6 | | 551,507 | * | 43 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 31 | 99.9 | | 341,060 | * | 42 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 41 | 100.0 | | 204,329 | * | 41 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 51 | 100.0 | | 117,621 | * | 40 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 35 | 61 | Yes | 65,481 | * | 39 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 69 | Yes | 35,221 | * | 38 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 23 | 76 | Yes | 18,315 | * | 37 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 17 | 83 | Yes | 9,015 | * | 36 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | Yes | 4,221 | * | 35 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 1,912 | * | 34 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | 804 | * | 33 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 342 | * | 29 | -32 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 179 | * | 24 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 59,902 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.2 | % | 2.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3.6 | % | 578,055,296 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |