How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 -1.7
-3.5
+0.3
-0.6
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 -0.1
-0.3
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 +0.1
Oldham 2 Walsall 1 *-0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 *+0.1
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +0.1
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 -0.6
-2.5
+0.5
-0.7
Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 -0.5
-1.7
+0.2
-0.4
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -0.4
-0.4
-0.1
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 +0.1
+0.2
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.1
-0.3
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.1
-0.4
-0.1
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.1
-0.3
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.1
+0.4
+0.1
Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 +0.1
*+0.1
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 -0.1
-0.3
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 *+0.1
+0.2
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 -0.2
Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 -0.1
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 +0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 -0.2
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 -0.1
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chesterfield finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
10828-0-0100.0%Yes1000No59,902
98-100YesYes100No45*
9723-4-199.0Yes991No96*
9623-3-297.6Yes982No164*
9523-2-396.7Yes973No424*
9422-4-293.999.9%9460No891*
9322-3-392.499.892700No1,809*
9221-5-288.799.789110No3,719*
9121-4-385.399.5851410No7,023*
9021-3-479.698.8801920No13,246*
8920-5-372.397.9722530No23,557*
8820-4-465.496.56530400No41,816*
8720-3-556.194.15636710No71,547*
8619-5-447.190.5474011100No120,500*
8519-4-537.685.6384316300No197,066*
8418-6-428.779.4294422500No313,493*
8318-5-520.571.52141298100No489,214*
8218-4-613.662.7143734132000No743,193*
8117-6-58.453.783037205100No1,102,838*
8017-5-64.745.152236269100No1,600,487*
7917-4-72.437.8215333215300No2,271,106*
7816-6-61.132.21926352271000No3,155,018*
7716-5-70.428.105183329122000No4,280,903*
7615-7-60.125.1021128331961000No5,684,186*
7515-6-70.022.3016203327112000No7,387,932*
7415-5-80.019.10031328321851000No9,408,154*
7314-7-70.015.20017213226112000No11,728,445*
7214-6-80.010.900031328311861000No14,317,623*
7114-5-90.06.9000162032261230000No17,107,817*
7013-7-8No3.700031227312071000No20,023,135*
6913-6-9No1.6000161830271330000No22,972,586*
6812-8-8No0.600021024312282000No25,797,151*
6712-7-9No0.2000141529291651000No28,371,129*
6612-6-10No0.0000282131251130000No30,558,686*
6511-8-9No0.00000312263020720000No32,252,376*
6411-7-10No0.0000151729271551000No33,322,367*
6311-6-11No0.0000292130241130000No33,724,934*
6210-8-10NoNo0000312252920820000No33,417,560*
6110-7-11NoNo000151627271651000No32,427,094*
6010-6-12NoNo0002820292512410000.0%30,781,454*
599-8-11NoNo00003112329219200000.028,596,437*
589-7-12NoNo00015142628187100000.026,004,912*
579-6-13NoNo0001718282614510000.123,118,376*
568-8-12NoNo00002922292311300000.420,085,202*
558-7-13NoNo0001413252919710001.617,086,983*
548-6-14NoNo000161729281541004.914,183,103*
537-8-13NoNo000292231241020012.111,510,981*
527-7-14NoNo000141427311851024.09,113,012*
517-6-15NoNo00017203227112040.17,044,717*
506-8-14NoNo0003122833195057.65,312,501*
496-7-15NoNo0001620342810173.33,898,632*
486-6-16NoNo000212303617285.12,789,598*
475-8-15NoNo0016233926592.61,942,682*
465-7-16NoNo0003163835996.81,314,212*
455-6-17NoNo001933421598.7863,353*
444-8-16NoNo000526462299.6551,507*
434-7-17NoNo00219483199.9341,060*
424-6-18NoNo01134541100.0204,329*
413-8-17NoNo0084151100.0117,621*
403-7-18NoNo053561Yes65,481*
393-6-19NoNo032969Yes35,221*
382-8-18NoNo012376Yes18,315*
372-7-19NoNo11783Yes9,015*
362-6-20NoNo01288Yes4,221*
352-5-21NoNo0991Yes1,912*
341-7-20NoNo595Yes804*
331-6-21NoNo496Yes342*
29-32NoNo100Yes179*
240-0-28NoNo0100Yes59,902
Total:0.2%2.9%0012345678888776543321103.6%578,055,296

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship