Colchester Title Chances 2014-2015Lost to Coventry 0-1, title odds down 0.005 to 0.01% 17 points 4-5-9 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | +0.4 | | -6.1 | | +0.8 | | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | | Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | | Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | | Port Vale 4 Yeovil 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | | Oldham 2 Walsall 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | | | +0.5 | | -4.7 | | +0.9 | | | Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 | -0.0 | | -0.2 | | +0.4 | | -0.2 | | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | +0.0 | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | | | | | -0.4 | | +0.0 | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | | Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | | Crawley Town 1 Walsall 0 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Colchester finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 28 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,902 | | | 93 | | 24 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1 | | | 92 | | 24 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 75.0 | | Yes | 75 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4 | | | 91 | | 24 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 80.0 | | Yes | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10 | * | | 90 | | 23 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 75.0 | | Yes | 75 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16 | * | | 89 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 81.8 | | Yes | 82 | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 44 | * | | 88 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 68.0 | | 96.0 | % | 68 | 27 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 100 | * | | 87 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 62.0 | | 94.1 | | 62 | 31 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 205 | * | | 86 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 45.2 | | 92.2 | | 45 | 44 | 9 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 436 | * | | 85 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 43.6 | | 88.8 | | 44 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 937 | * | | 84 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 32.6 | | 83.7 | | 33 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,835 | * | | 83 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 25.9 | | 76.8 | | 26 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,589 | * | | 82 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 17.7 | | 68.7 | | 18 | 41 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,916 | * | | 81 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 11.3 | | 59.4 | | 11 | 35 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,584 | * | | 80 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 6.9 | | 50.3 | | 7 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,795 | * | | 79 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 3.6 | | 42.0 | | 4 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,919 | * | | 78 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 1.7 | | 35.3 | | 2 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 67,166 | * | | 77 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.7 | | 30.2 | | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,961 | * | | 76 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.2 | | 26.6 | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 182,655 | * | | 75 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 23.7 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 289,210 | * | | 74 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 20.7 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 448,975 | * | | 73 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 17.0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 681,586 | * | | 72 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 12.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,013,021 | * | | 71 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 8.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,466,607 | * | | 70 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 4.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,086,686 | * | | 69 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | No | 2.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,899,674 | * | | 68 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,948,064 | * | | 67 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 5,264,179 | * | | 66 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 6,871,760 | * | | 65 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 8,785,392 | * | | 64 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 11,002,044 | * | | 63 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 13,510,297 | * | | 62 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 16,237,319 | * | | 61 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 19,120,022 | * | | 60 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 22,066,834 | * | | 59 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 24,948,269 | * | | 58 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 27,640,293 | * | | 57 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 29,983,425 | * | | 56 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 31,864,394 | * | | 55 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | | 33,178,047 | * | | 54 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.8 | | 33,799,981 | * | | 53 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11.7 | | 33,724,284 | * | | 52 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 23.2 | | 32,940,782 | * | | 51 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 38.6 | | 31,482,005 | * | | 50 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 55.7 | | 29,431,365 | * | | 49 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 71.3 | | 26,930,247 | * | | 48 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 83.4 | | 24,080,877 | * | | 47 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 4 | 91.4 | | 21,048,375 | * | | 46 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 96.1 | | 17,973,071 | * | | 45 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 40 | 13 | 98.4 | | 14,981,010 | * | | 44 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 46 | 19 | 99.4 | | 12,194,785 | * | | 43 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 48 | 28 | 99.8 | | 9,678,308 | * | | 42 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 47 | 37 | 99.9 | | 7,484,355 | * | | 41 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 47 | 100.0 | | 5,643,817 | * | | 40 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 56 | 100.0 | | 4,140,253 | * | | 39 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 65 | 100.0 | | 2,955,247 | * | | 38 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 100.0 | | 2,048,695 | * | | 37 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 80 | Yes | 1,378,408 | * | | 36 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 15 | 85 | Yes | 900,759 | * | | 35 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | Yes | 569,692 | * | | 34 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 346,424 | * | | 33 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 203,749 | * | | 32 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 115,881 | * | | 31 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 62,910 | * | | 30 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 32,722 | * | | 29 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 16,503 | * | | 28 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 7,934 | * | | 27 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,423 | * | | 17 | -26 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 62,261 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 31.3 | % | 578,055,296 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |