Peterborough Title Chances 2014-2015Lost to Swindon 1-2, title odds down 0.9 to 0.9% 27 points 8-3-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | +2.3 | | +5.4 | | -0.3 | | +0.9 | | Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 | -0.5 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Oldham 2 Walsall 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | -3.5 | | -6.3 | | +0.1 | | -0.6 | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | +2.7 | | +5.0 | | -0.1 | | +0.6 | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | -1.3 | | -0.8 | | | | | | Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 | +0.9 | | +0.4 | | | | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | -0.4 | | -0.9 | | | | | | Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 | +0.4 | | +0.5 | | | | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | -0.3 | | -0.5 | | | | | | Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | -0.2 | | -0.4 | | | | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | -0.2 | | -0.5 | | | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | *+0.1 | | *+0.2 | | | | | | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | *-0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | *-0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 | | | +0.3 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Peterborough finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | -111 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,331 | * | 99 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 513 | * | 98 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,151 | * | 97 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,352 | * | 96 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.1 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,691 | * | 95 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 96.6 | | 100.0 | % | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,117 | * | 94 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 95.5 | | 100.0 | | 95 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,043 | * | 93 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 93.3 | | 99.9 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,781 | * | 92 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 89.9 | | 99.8 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 54,186 | * | 91 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 85.8 | | 99.5 | | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 92,692 | * | 90 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 80.6 | | 99.0 | | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 154,676 | * | 89 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 74.0 | | 98.2 | | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 252,185 | * | 88 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 66.4 | | 96.7 | | 66 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 399,962 | * | 87 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 57.6 | | 94.4 | | 58 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 616,843 | * | 86 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 48.2 | | 91.0 | | 48 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 932,334 | * | 85 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 38.6 | | 86.2 | | 39 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,370,859 | * | 84 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 29.3 | | 79.8 | | 29 | 44 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,969,489 | * | 83 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 20.9 | | 71.9 | | 21 | 42 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,767,783 | * | 82 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 13.9 | | 63.0 | | 14 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,803,894 | * | 81 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 8.5 | | 53.9 | | 9 | 30 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,107,237 | * | 80 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 4.8 | | 45.2 | | 5 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,720,607 | * | 79 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 2.4 | | 37.9 | | 2 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,639,621 | * | 78 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 1.1 | | 32.2 | | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,871,787 | * | 77 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 0.4 | | 28.1 | | 0 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,392,748 | * | 76 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | 25.2 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,140,307 | * | 75 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 22.5 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,048,180 | * | 74 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 19.4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,018,440 | * | 73 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 15.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,910,141 | * | 72 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 11.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,597,222 | * | 71 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 7.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,962,182 | * | 70 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 4.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,822,706 | * | 69 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 1.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,115,904 | * | 68 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | 0.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,738,008 | * | 67 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 33,642,316 | * | 66 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 32,850,147 | * | 65 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 31,418,566 | * | 64 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 29,381,092 | * | 63 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 26,892,852 | * | 62 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 24,081,987 | * | 61 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 21,098,215 | * | 60 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 18,065,076 | * | 59 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 15,118,971 | * | 58 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 12,376,635 | * | 57 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 9,889,500 | * | 56 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 7,713,095 | * | 55 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | | 5,875,111 | * | 54 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 | | 4,364,576 | * | 53 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12.9 | | 3,155,783 | * | 52 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25.4 | | 2,224,644 | * | 51 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 41.7 | | 1,529,500 | * | 50 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 59.1 | | 1,021,029 | * | 49 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 74.4 | | 662,804 | * | 48 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 2 | 85.8 | | 417,779 | * | 47 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 5 | 93.0 | | 254,448 | * | 46 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 96.9 | | 150,803 | * | 45 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 98.9 | | 86,794 | * | 44 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 47 | 23 | 99.6 | | 47,371 | * | 43 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 33 | 99.9 | | 25,475 | * | 42 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 100.0 | | 13,018 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 39 | 53 | Yes | 6,489 | * | 40 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 34 | 61 | Yes | 3,008 | * | 39 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 29 | 68 | Yes | 1,397 | * | 38 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 22 | 77 | Yes | 554 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 81 | Yes | 244 | * | 36 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 23 | 76 | Yes | 84 | * | 35 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 87 | Yes | 38 | * | 34 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 88 | Yes | 16 | * | 32 | -33 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 5 | * | 27 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 59,902 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.9 | % | 8.7 | % | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | % | 578,055,296 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |