Football League One Title Chances 2010-2011

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title											Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed																										Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Brighton	94		28	-	10	-	7	45	Yes		Yes			100																								1.0		No			1	.714	Brighton and Hove Albion
Southampton	89		27	-	8	-	10	47	No		100.0	%	+7.9		100	0																						2.0	+0.11	No			3	.730	Southampton

Huddersfield	86		25	-	11	-	9	29	No		25.0		-7.9		0	100																						3.0	-0.11	No			2	.647	Huddersfield Town
Peterborough	76		22	-	10	-	13	26	No		25.0						95	5																				4.1		No			4	.587	Peterborough United
Milton Keynes	74		22	-	8	-	15	6	No		25.0						5	73	22																			5.2		No			5	.526	Milton Keynes Dons
Bournemouth	71		19	-	14	-	12	22	No		25.0							22	78																			5.8		No			6	.603	AFC Bournemouth

Leyton Orient	67		18	-	13	-	14	6	No		No									71	25	4																7.3	+0.01	No			7	.525	Leyton Orient
Exeter City	67		19	-	10	-	16	-8	No		No									24	64	11																7.9	-0.01	No			9	.459	Exeter City
Rochdale	65		17	-	14	-	14	7	No		No									4	11	85																8.8		No			8	.533	Rochdale
Carlisle	59		16	-	11	-	18	0	No		No												46	14	11	9	8	11	1									11.6	+0.34	No			10	.496	Carlisle United
Brentford	60		17	-	9	-	19	-7	No		No												21	22	29	20	7											11.7	+0.42	No			13	.455	Brentford
Colchester	59		15	-	14	-	16	-7	No		No												23	29	12	15	14	5	1	0								11.9	+0.58	No			11	.458	Colchester United
Charlton	58		15	-	13	-	17	-4	No		No												7	21	23	15	9	10	9	5	1							12.9	+0.53	No			15	.476	Charlton Athletic
Sheff Wed	58		16	-	10	-	19	1	No		No												3	13	22	23	19	10	7	2	0							13.1	+0.58	No			14	.500	Sheffield Wednesday
Oldham	56		13	-	17	-	15	-6	No		No															2	12	26	24	30	7							15.9	+0.50	No			12	.462	Oldham Athletic
Tranmere	56		15	-	11	-	19	-5	No		No															2	12	21	27	15	24							16.1	-3.81	No			18	.467	Tranmere Rovers
Hartlepool	56		15	-	11	-	19	-18	No		No														0	3	10	13	21	29	23							16.3	+0.39	No			17	.396	Hartlepool United
Yeovil	56		15	-	11	-	19	-12	No		No													0	3	10	9	4	9	19	46							16.5	+0.48	No			16	.433	Yeovil Town FC
Notts County	49		14	-	7	-	24	-14	No		No																					82	17	1				19.2	+1.75	1.1	%	-74.5	22	.412	Notts County
Walsall	48		12	-	12	-	21	-17	No		No																					6	78	15				20.1	-0.68	15.3		+10.2	23	.412	Walsall

Dag & Red	47		12	-	11	-	22	-13	No		No																					12	5	73	11			20.8	-0.58	83.7		+49.6	21	.426	Dagenham & Redbridge
Bristol Rovers	45		11	-	12	-	22	-33	No		No																							11	69	20		22.1	-0.12	Yes		+7.8	20	.337	Bristol Rovers
Plymouth	42		15	-	7	-	23	-21	No		No																								20	80		22.8	-0.36	Yes		+6.9	19	.386	Plymouth Argyle FC
Swindon	38		8	-	14	-	23	-24	No		No																										100	24.0		Yes			24	.372	Swindon Town

Week of 4/23
Brighton 1 Southampton 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton	+15.4				+0.2
Huddersfield	-15.2				-0.2

Southampton 2 Hartlepool 0
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton	+5.1
Huddersfield	-5.0

Huddersfield 2 Dag & Red 1
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton	-4.4
Huddersfield	+4.4
Notts County			-3.2
Walsall			-4.1
Dag & Red			+11.3		-0.3
Bristol Rovers			-2.9

Carlisle 0 Leyton Orient 1
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Carlisle	No				-0.9

Bournemouth 2 Bristol Rovers 1
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Carlisle	No
Brentford	No
Colchester	*No
Notts County			-3.1
Walsall			-3.6
Dag & Red			-2.7
Bristol Rovers			+10.3		-0.3

Yeovil 2 Bournemouth 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Brentford	*No

Plymouth 1 Milton Keynes 0
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Plymouth			-10.0		+0.7

Notts County 1 Brentford 1
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Brentford	*No
Notts County			+6.7		-0.2
Dag & Red			-2.1
Bristol Rovers			-3.0

Colchester 1 Brighton 1
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Colchester	*No

Swindon 1 Notts County 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Notts County			-28.9		+1.1
Dag & Red			+8.5		-0.2
Swindon			+6.2		-0.7

Walsall 1 Sheff Wed 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Walsall			+6.2		-0.2
Dag & Red			-1.3
Bristol Rovers			-1.6

Bristol Rovers 2 Charlton 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Dag & Red			-2.0
Bristol Rovers			+5.6

Oldham 1 Walsall 1
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Oldham			*No		-0.5
Notts County			-0.4
Walsall			-1.1
Dag & Red			+1.0
Bristol Rovers			+0.4

Sheff Wed 3 Swindon 1
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Swindon			Yes		-0.2

Week of 4/30
Brighton 2 Huddersfield 3
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton	-14.5				-0.2
Huddersfield	+14.5				+0.2

Plymouth 0 Southampton 3
3:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton	+7.9
Huddersfield	-7.9
Dag & Red			-4.3
Plymouth			Yes		-0.4

Brentford 0 Southampton 3
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton	+6.6
Huddersfield	-6.6

Leyton Orient 0 Tranmere 3
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rochdale	+0.2

Milton Keynes 2 Notts County 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Notts County			+13.0		-0.4
Dag & Red			-4.8
Bristol Rovers			-4.1

Rochdale 2 Peterborough 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rochdale	No				-0.2

Hartlepool 2 Bournemouth 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Exeter City	No
Rochdale	No

Exeter City 1 Plymouth 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Exeter City	+0.1				+0.3
Walsall			-4.1
Plymouth			+11.9		-0.5

Walsall 2 Charlton 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Notts County			+13.0		-0.3
Walsall			-38.3		+0.9
Dag & Red			+10.3		-0.2
Bristol Rovers			+9.0		-0.2
Plymouth			+6.0		-0.2

Dag & Red 3 Carlisle 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Notts County			+11.7		-0.3
Walsall			+8.5		-0.3
Dag & Red			-31.9		+1.1
Bristol Rovers			+7.0		-0.2

Bristol Rovers 1 Sheff Wed 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Notts County			-4.7
Walsall			-3.6
Bristol Rovers			+12.1		-0.3

Week of 5/7
Southampton vs WalsallIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton	YesYes99.9
Notts County			NoNo12.8		19.119.119.9
Walsall			16.716.7No		20.220.219.2

Huddersfield vs BrentfordHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton	100.0YesYes

Peterborough vs Dag & RedHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Notts County			NoNo6.5		19.119.119.8
Walsall			NoNo91.6		19.919.920.9
Dag & Red			YesYes1.9		21.221.019.3

Notts County vs BrightonHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Notts County			No1.41.4		19.019.319.3

Carlisle vs YeovilHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Carlisle					10.112.014.3
Yeovil					17.816.613.3

Charlton vs HartlepoolHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Charlton					11.513.516.0
Hartlepool					17.116.414.2

Colchester vs Bristol RoversHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Colchester					10.712.814.2

Sheff Wed vs Exeter CityHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Sheff Wed					12.013.515.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Football League One Title Chances 2010-2011

Big Games