Rochdale Title Chances 2014-2015Lost to Doncaster 1-3, title odds down 2.9 to 2.3% 26 points 8-2-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | | | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | | | | Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | Oldham 2 Walsall 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 | +0.9 | | +4.3 | | -0.8 | | +1.1 | | | Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 | -0.6 | | -1.9 | | +0.3 | | -0.5 | | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | -0.3 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | | | | Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Rochdale finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | -113 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,080 | * | | 103 | | 25 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.6 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 259 | * | | 102 | | 24 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 598 | * | | 101 | | 24 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,197 | * | | 100 | | 24 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,734 | * | | 99 | | 23 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,406 | * | | 98 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.0 | | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,434 | * | | 97 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 98.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,009 | * | | 96 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 97.5 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,587 | * | | 95 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 96.2 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,408 | * | | 94 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 94.5 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,893 | * | | 93 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 91.9 | | 99.9 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 170,355 | * | | 92 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 88.4 | | 99.7 | | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 274,629 | * | | 91 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 84.2 | | 99.4 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 431,573 | * | | 90 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 78.7 | | 98.9 | | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 660,269 | * | | 89 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 72.0 | | 97.9 | | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 988,339 | * | | 88 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 64.3 | | 96.3 | | 64 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,445,038 | * | | 87 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 55.7 | | 94.0 | | 56 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,059,864 | * | | 86 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 46.5 | | 90.4 | | 47 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,869,540 | * | | 85 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 37.2 | | 85.5 | | 37 | 43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,914,967 | * | | 84 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 28.2 | | 79.1 | | 28 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,227,018 | * | | 83 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 20.3 | | 71.4 | | 20 | 42 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,819,770 | * | | 82 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 13.6 | | 62.8 | | 14 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,713,456 | * | | 81 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 8.4 | | 53.9 | | 8 | 30 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,887,951 | * | | 80 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 4.7 | | 45.5 | | 5 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,343,407 | * | | 79 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 2.4 | | 38.2 | | 2 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,997,462 | * | | 78 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 1.1 | | 32.6 | | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,801,467 | * | | 77 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.4 | | 28.6 | | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,638,166 | * | | 76 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | 25.7 | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,402,604 | * | | 75 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 23.2 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,975,055 | * | | 74 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 20.4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,217,818 | * | | 73 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 16.8 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,010,825 | * | | 72 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 12.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,269,022 | * | | 71 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 8.5 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,896,700 | * | | 70 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 4.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,856,135 | * | | 69 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 2.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,179,908 | * | | 68 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 30,889,200 | * | | 67 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 29,050,200 | * | | 66 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 26,763,573 | * | | 65 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 24,150,904 | * | | 64 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 21,351,397 | * | | 63 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 18,492,081 | * | | 62 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 15,669,013 | * | | 61 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 13,001,274 | * | | 60 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 10,556,644 | * | | 59 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 8,382,378 | * | | 58 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 6,512,130 | * | | 57 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 4,950,248 | * | | 56 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 3,667,923 | * | | 55 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | | 2,661,258 | * | | 54 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 | | 1,884,703 | * | | 53 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13.2 | | 1,299,325 | * | | 52 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25.9 | | 877,238 | * | | 51 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 42.4 | | 574,757 | * | | 50 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 59.9 | | 367,282 | * | | 49 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 75.2 | | 228,516 | * | | 48 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 2 | 86.5 | | 138,200 | * | | 47 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 5 | 93.4 | | 80,831 | * | | 46 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 36 | 10 | 97.2 | | 46,009 | * | | 45 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 42 | 16 | 99.0 | | 25,264 | * | | 44 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 46 | 25 | 99.6 | | 13,491 | * | | 43 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 33 | 99.9 | | 7,121 | * | | 42 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 100.0 | | 3,515 | * | | 41 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 42 | 49 | Yes | 1,644 | * | | 40 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 36 | 61 | Yes | 774 | * | | 39 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 25 | 71 | Yes | 340 | * | | 38 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 21 | 78 | Yes | 120 | * | | 37 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 80 | Yes | 60 | * | | 36 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 27 | * | | 35 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | Yes | 7 | * | | 32 | -34 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 4 | * | | 26 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 29 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 59,902 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.3 | % | 15.6 | % | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | % | 578,055,296 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |