Crawley Town Title Chances 2014-2015Tied Scunthorpe 2-2, title odds down 0.001 to 0.01% 21 points 5-6-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | -0.1 | | -0.5 | | +4.9 | | -0.8 | | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | | Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | | Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | | Oldham 2 Walsall 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | | Port Vale 4 Yeovil 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Crawley Town 1 Walsall 0 | | | +0.2 | | -7.6 | | +0.9 | | | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | -0.0 | | -0.2 | | +3.9 | | -0.5 | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | | | | | -0.4 | | +0.0 | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | | | | | +0.8 | | -0.1 | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | | | | | -0.5 | | +0.0 | | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | | | | | -0.5 | | +0.0 | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | | | | | -0.5 | | +0.0 | | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | | Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | | Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | Doncaster 0 Leyton Orient 2 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | Fleetwood Town 3 Doncaster 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Crawley Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 28 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,902 | | | 93 | -95 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3 | * | | 92 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 66.7 | | Yes | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6 | * | | 91 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 80.0 | | Yes | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20 | * | | 90 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 81.3 | | 96.9 | % | 81 | 16 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32 | * | | 89 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 78.3 | | Yes | 78 | 22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 69 | * | | 88 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 70.4 | | 98.8 | | 70 | 28 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 162 | * | | 87 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 62.7 | | 94.2 | | 63 | 30 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 365 | * | | 86 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 52.9 | | 91.9 | | 53 | 36 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 700 | * | | 85 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 41.0 | | 87.5 | | 41 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,481 | * | | 84 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 32.0 | | 81.8 | | 32 | 44 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,779 | * | | 83 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 25.1 | | 74.8 | | 25 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,160 | * | | 82 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 16.3 | | 66.8 | | 16 | 40 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,460 | * | | 81 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 10.2 | | 57.4 | | 10 | 33 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,066 | * | | 80 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 6.0 | | 48.3 | | 6 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,738 | * | | 79 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 3.2 | | 40.3 | | 3 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,586 | * | | 78 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 1.4 | | 33.9 | | 1 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,848 | * | | 77 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.6 | | 29.3 | | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 137,808 | * | | 76 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.2 | | 25.8 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 220,588 | * | | 75 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 22.9 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 344,884 | * | | 74 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 19.7 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 528,773 | * | | 73 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 15.9 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 792,066 | * | | 72 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 11.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,158,493 | * | | 71 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 7.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,664,803 | * | | 70 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | No | 3.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,342,495 | * | | 69 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | 1.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,230,044 | * | | 68 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,359,002 | * | | 67 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 5,769,694 | * | | 66 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 7,478,876 | * | | 65 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 9,509,147 | * | | 64 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 11,829,739 | * | | 63 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 14,438,579 | * | | 62 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 17,263,058 | * | | 61 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 20,223,823 | * | | 60 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 23,217,204 | * | | 59 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 26,109,075 | * | | 58 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 28,747,903 | * | | 57 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 31,029,929 | * | | 56 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | | 32,773,023 | * | | 55 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.1 | | 33,896,593 | * | | 54 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | | 34,299,706 | * | | 53 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14.0 | | 33,967,983 | * | | 52 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 26.5 | | 32,907,146 | * | | 51 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 42.5 | | 31,162,337 | * | | 50 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 59.4 | | 28,852,043 | * | | 49 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 74.3 | | 26,095,940 | * | | 48 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 36 | 17 | 2 | 85.5 | | 23,041,212 | * | | 47 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 4 | 92.6 | | 19,863,608 | * | | 46 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 34 | 8 | 96.7 | | 16,695,501 | * | | 45 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 41 | 14 | 98.7 | | 13,691,996 | * | | 44 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 46 | 21 | 99.5 | | 10,922,343 | * | | 43 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 48 | 29 | 99.8 | | 8,480,155 | * | | 42 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 39 | 100.0 | | 6,404,359 | * | | 41 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 48 | 100.0 | | 4,700,177 | * | | 40 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 58 | 100.0 | | 3,339,122 | * | | 39 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 66 | 100.0 | | 2,304,336 | * | | 38 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 100.0 | | 1,536,730 | * | | 37 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 81 | Yes | 987,139 | * | | 36 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | Yes | 613,271 | * | | 35 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | Yes | 365,813 | * | | 34 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 209,341 | * | | 33 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 114,703 | * | | 32 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 59,634 | * | | 31 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 29,492 | * | | 30 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 13,736 | * | | 29 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,904 | * | | 28 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,395 | * | | 27 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 876 | * | | 21 | -26 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 60,322 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30.1 | % | 578,055,296 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |