How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Oldham 2 Walsall 1 -0.1
-0.6
+3.4
-0.7
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 -0.1
-0.3
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 +0.2
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +0.4
Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3 +0.2
Port Vale 4 Yeovil 1 +0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 *-0.1
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Walsall 0 Crewe 1 -0.5
+7.8
-1.1
Crawley Town 1 Walsall 0 -0.2
+6.4
-0.8
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -0.4
+0.0
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 -0.4
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.3
+0.0
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 *+0.1
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 *-0.1
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.7
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.6
+0.0
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 -0.5
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 +0.4
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 -0.3
Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2 -0.3
Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 -0.3
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 -0.2
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Walsall finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
97-106YesYes100No59,906*
9624-2-292.9%Yes937No14*
9523-4-196.7Yes973No30*
9423-3-291.9Yes928No62*
9323-2-394.9Yes955No117*
9222-4-289.0Yes8911No292*
9122-3-387.299.7%87130No686*
9021-5-283.099.483161No1,406*
8921-4-377.098.577212No2,809*
8821-3-467.997.4682930No5,507*
8720-5-360.995.6613360No10,445*
8620-4-452.792.65337910No18,529*
8520-3-542.988.5434213200No32,689*
8419-5-433.082.7334419400No56,293*
8319-4-524.175.4244326610No94,588*
8218-6-416.867.117393211200No155,369*
8118-5-510.557.810333617400No249,449*
8018-4-66.048.562537247100No390,645*
7917-6-53.240.63183430122000No597,792*
7817-5-61.434.11112934195100No893,880*
7717-4-70.629.316213426102000No1,307,883*
7616-6-60.225.9031330321741000No1,871,160*
7516-5-70.123.001722332592000No2,623,251*
7415-7-60.019.90031430311651000No3,593,524*
7315-6-70.016.00018223224102000No4,821,541*
7215-5-80.011.600031429301751000No6,342,104*
7114-7-70.07.400017213125113000No8,159,290*
7014-6-8No4.000031327311961000No10,283,717*
6914-5-9No1.8000161930271341000No12,700,442*
6813-7-8No0.6000021024312292000No15,361,453*
6713-6-9No0.20001415282916510000No18,197,757*
6613-5-10No0.00000282030251230000No21,127,092*
6512-7-9No0.0000031225302082000No24,027,882*
6412-6-10No0.0000151628281651000No26,769,035*
6311-8-9No0.0000282029251231000No29,217,493*
6211-7-10No0.00000311242921920000No31,242,669*
6111-6-11NoNo000151527281761000No32,721,634*
6010-8-10NoNo0002719292513410000.0%33,566,757*
5910-7-11NoNo000031023292210200000.033,720,210*
5810-6-12NoNo0001414262918710000.033,135,673*
579-8-11NoNo00001618282714410000.131,898,619*
569-7-12NoNo0000292230231030000.330,060,170*
559-6-13NoNo0001413262919710001.427,701,410*
548-8-12NoNo000161829271441004.424,976,033*
538-7-13NoNo0000210233123920010.922,019,539*
528-6-14NoNo000141528301751021.918,962,725*
517-8-13NoNo00018213226102037.215,964,741*
507-7-14NoNo00003132932184054.213,124,499*
497-6-15NoNo000172235268170.110,520,282*
486-8-14NoNo000314323415282.68,247,407*
476-7-15NoNo00018253823491.06,286,941*
466-6-16NoNo0004183832895.84,674,083*
455-8-15NoNo0021134401398.33,384,885*
445-7-16NoNo001628452099.42,381,225*
435-6-17NoNo000320472999.81,629,271*
424-8-16NoNo00114463899.91,081,886*
414-7-17NoNo0194248100.0697,262*
404-6-18NoNo0053758100.0434,044*
393-8-17NoNo0033067100.0262,194*
383-7-18NoNo022475Yes151,793*
373-6-19NoNo011881Yes84,658*
363-5-20NoNo001386Yes45,911*
352-7-19NoNo0990Yes23,706*
342-6-20NoNo0693Yes11,657*
332-5-21NoNo496Yes5,381*
321-7-20NoNo0298Yes2,399*
311-6-21NoNo199Yes966*
301-5-22NoNo199Yes415*
291-4-23NoNo199Yes159*
280-6-22NoNo298Yes41*
22-27NoNo100Yes59,919*
Total:0.0%1.1%0001123345678888876543219.6%578,055,296

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship