How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 +0.2
+1.1
-3.8
+1.0
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 -0.1
-0.3
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +0.1
+0.3
Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3 +0.2
Oldham 2 Walsall 1 -0.1
Port Vale 4 Yeovil 1 +0.1
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.2
-1.3
+1.6
-0.7
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 -0.1
-1.1
+2.8
-0.9
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.1
-0.1
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.1
+0.3
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.1
-0.2
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 *-0.1
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 *+0.1
*-0.1
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 *+0.1
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 -0.1
-0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 -0.1
-0.2
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 +0.2
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 -0.1
Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2 -0.1
Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 -0.1
Walsall 0 Crewe 1 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Barnsley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
97-109YesYes100No59,997*
9624-2-396.1%Yes964No154*
9523-4-295.6Yes964No272*
9423-3-395.2Yes955No665*
9322-5-291.699.8%9280No1,209*
9222-4-389.199.889110No2,433*
9122-3-485.899.786140No4,809*
9021-5-380.799.0811810No8,921*
8921-4-474.298.2742320No16,084*
8820-6-366.096.86630400No28,659*
8720-5-457.694.55835710No49,347*
8620-4-548.391.0484011100No83,540*
8519-6-439.186.5394316200No137,178*
8419-5-529.880.3304422400No220,712*
8319-4-621.572.72142288100No343,975*
8218-6-514.463.9143833132000No527,812*
8118-5-69.054.893137194000No792,632*
8017-7-55.046.052337268100No1,165,590*
7917-6-62.538.53163331143000No1,668,868*
7817-5-71.132.7192734216100No2,346,964*
7716-7-60.428.405193328112000No3,223,671*
7616-6-70.125.302122833195100No4,338,727*
7516-5-80.022.50162133261020000No5,724,854*
7415-7-70.019.3003132931185100No7,398,419*
7315-6-80.015.40017213225112000No9,360,045*
7215-5-90.011.100031328311861000No11,613,091*
7114-7-80.07.000017203226113000No14,117,478*
7014-6-9No3.700031227312071000No16,822,149*
6913-8-8No1.7000161830271341000No19,643,253*
6813-7-9No0.600021024312292000No22,486,312*
6713-6-10No0.2000141528291651000No25,226,953*
6612-8-9No0.00001821302511300000No27,737,062*
6512-7-10No0.0000312253020820000No29,908,920*
6412-6-11No0.0000151728281551000No31,592,650*
6311-8-10No0.00000282130241130000No32,705,274*
6211-7-11NoNo0000312252920820000No33,164,323*
6111-6-12NoNo00015162728166100000.0%32,975,631*
6010-8-11NoNo00002820292513410000.032,119,080*
5910-7-12NoNo000031123292210200000.030,628,603*
5810-6-13NoNo00014142628187100000.028,607,113*
579-8-12NoNo00001718282614410000.126,158,130*
569-7-13NoNo0000292229231130000.423,418,339*
559-6-14NoNo0001413252919710001.520,506,800*
548-8-13NoNo000161729271541004.717,575,763*
538-7-14NoNo0000292231231020011.614,723,502*
527-9-13NoNo000141428301851023.312,055,699*
517-8-14NoNo00017203226112039.09,654,881*
507-7-15NoNo0003122833194056.37,539,793*
496-9-14NoNo000162134289172.05,752,900*
486-8-15NoNo000313313516284.14,282,102*
476-7-16NoNo0017243925592.03,105,606*
466-6-17NoNo0003173834896.42,193,124*
455-8-16NoNo0011033411498.61,510,401*
445-7-17NoNo000626462199.51,010,370*
435-6-18NoNo00319473099.8655,234*
424-8-17NoNo001134640100.0414,020*
414-7-18NoNo0084150100.0253,675*
404-6-19NoNo0053659100.0149,959*
393-8-18NoNo033068Yes85,498*
383-7-19NoNo012375Yes47,247*
373-6-20NoNo011882Yes24,972*
362-8-19NoNo001387Yes12,635*
352-7-20NoNo0991Yes6,256*
342-6-21NoNo0793Yes2,951*
332-5-22NoNo496Yes1,244*
321-7-21NoNo298Yes531*
311-6-22NoNo298Yes202*
22-30NoNo100Yes60,033*
Total:0.1%2.3%0011234567888877654322105.3%578,055,296

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship