Port Vale Title Chances 2014-2015Lost to Milton Keynes D 0-1, title odds down 0.05 to 0.05% 22 points 6-4-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Port Vale 4 Yeovil 1 | | | +0.1 | | -7.1 | | +0.7 | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Oldham 2 Walsall 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | -0.0 | | -0.3 | | +3.7 | | -0.6 | | Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2 | | | -0.1 | | +2.9 | | -0.4 | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | +0.0 | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | +0.0 | | Crawley Town 1 Walsall 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Walsall 0 Crewe 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Port Vale finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 28 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,902 | | 95 | -101 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 53 | * | 94 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 96.3 | | 98.8 | % | 96 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 81 | * | 93 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 89.5 | | 99.4 | | 89 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 171 | * | 92 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 89.4 | | 99.3 | | 89 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 404 | * | 91 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 85.0 | | 99.6 | | 85 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 799 | * | 90 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 80.9 | | 99.5 | | 81 | 18 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,667 | * | 89 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 76.2 | | 98.8 | | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,229 | * | 88 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 67.5 | | 97.0 | | 68 | 28 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,311 | * | 87 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 59.8 | | 95.1 | | 60 | 34 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,659 | * | 86 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 50.6 | | 92.2 | | 51 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,043 | * | 85 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 40.9 | | 87.7 | | 41 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,157 | * | 84 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 31.7 | | 81.6 | | 32 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,414 | * | 83 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 23.0 | | 74.1 | | 23 | 42 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,406 | * | 82 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 15.7 | | 65.6 | | 16 | 38 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 174,483 | * | 81 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 9.9 | | 56.3 | | 10 | 32 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 277,827 | * | 80 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 5.6 | | 47.5 | | 6 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 432,160 | * | 79 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 2.9 | | 39.6 | | 3 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 659,677 | * | 78 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 1.3 | | 33.4 | | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 981,511 | * | 77 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.5 | | 28.9 | | 1 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,428,447 | * | 76 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.2 | | 25.6 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,038,467 | * | 75 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 22.8 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,841,717 | * | 74 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 19.6 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,874,445 | * | 73 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 15.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,173,738 | * | 72 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 11.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,768,147 | * | 71 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 7.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,666,647 | * | 70 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | 3.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,868,719 | * | 69 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 1.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,353,294 | * | 68 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 0.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,077,329 | * | 67 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 18,951,052 | * | 66 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 21,899,933 | * | 65 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 24,768,002 | * | 64 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 27,447,675 | * | 63 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 29,810,966 | * | 62 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 31,705,924 | * | 61 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 33,021,050 | * | 60 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 33,690,733 | * | 59 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 33,646,800 | * | 58 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 32,898,823 | * | 57 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 31,498,415 | * | 56 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 29,495,787 | * | 55 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | | 27,037,515 | * | 54 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 | | 24,215,015 | * | 53 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11.3 | | 21,216,736 | * | 52 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22.8 | | 18,176,392 | * | 51 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 38.3 | | 15,200,254 | * | 50 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 55.5 | | 12,422,024 | * | 49 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 71.4 | | 9,899,784 | * | 48 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 83.6 | | 7,700,502 | * | 47 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 4 | 91.7 | | 5,832,869 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 8 | 96.3 | | 4,311,076 | * | 45 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 41 | 14 | 98.5 | | 3,099,198 | * | 44 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 46 | 21 | 99.5 | | 2,163,900 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 48 | 30 | 99.8 | | 1,472,794 | * | 42 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 100.0 | | 969,552 | * | 41 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 49 | 100.0 | | 618,921 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 58 | 100.0 | | 383,134 | * | 39 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 67 | 100.0 | | 229,310 | * | 38 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 24 | 75 | Yes | 131,996 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | Yes | 73,858 | * | 36 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | Yes | 39,098 | * | 35 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 19,954 | * | 34 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 93 | Yes | 9,619 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 4,533 | * | 32 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 2,023 | * | 31 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 808 | * | 30 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 303 | * | 29 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 112 | * | 22 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 59,952 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 1.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9.2 | % | 578,055,296 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |